Match Info

Championship

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Burabai (Kokshetau)


	Arlan Kokshetau		Nomad

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.90	2.35
	2.45	3.85	2.30
	2.33	4.55	2.28	Watch
	2.30	4.10	2.30
	2.42	4.05	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)	4.09 ↓ (4.58)	2.29 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arlan Kokshetau
38.3%

Draw
22.2%

Nomad
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

20.1%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

22.3%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arlan Kokshetau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Nomad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arlan Kokshetau than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arlan Kokshetau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nomad than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Arlan Kokshetau - Nomad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arlan won 2.

Arlan is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nomad is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Nomad could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Arlan has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:46 (averaging 2.6:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Arlan against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 26:26 goals (averaging 2.4:2.4 per game).

Outrights of Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship for now

Nomad Astana: 26.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Nomad Astana	16	12	3	1	0	77:31	31
2	Kokshetau	16	12	0	1	3	59:37	25

Last Results with these Odds

Arlan Kokshetau - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.52%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arlan Kokshetau
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
07.10.26	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Arlan Kokshetau	3:4 ✺
06.10.26	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Arlan Kokshetau	3:4 ✺
03.10.26	Arlan Kokshetau - Almaty	3:2 ✺
02.10.26	Arlan Kokshetau - Almaty	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Arlan Kokshetau - Ertis Pavlodar	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW
- Nomad Astana
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
07.10.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Nomad	2:3 penalties ✺
06.10.26	Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk - Nomad	2:3 OT ✺
02.10.26	Nomad - Kulager Petropavlovsk	5:4 penalties ✺
01.10.26	Nomad - Kulager Petropavlovsk	4:1 ✺
28.09.26	Nomad - Saryarka	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Cup
16.08.26	Nomad - Arlan Kokshetau	3:4
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
07.02.26	Arlan Kokshetau - Nomad	1:5
06.02.26	Arlan Kokshetau - Nomad	3:4 OT
15.12.25	Arlan Kokshetau - Nomad	2:1
14.12.25	Arlan Kokshetau - Nomad	0:6
18.09.25	Nomad - Arlan Kokshetau	6:2
17.09.25	Nomad - Arlan Kokshetau	4:2

Arlan Kokshetau - Nomad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide