Match Info

AUSTRIA: ICE Hockey League - Round 41

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hodegart (Asiago) 🌤️ ...


	Asiago		Olimpija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	3.2	4.5	1.8
	3.2	4.35	1.87	Watch
	3.33	4.05	1.91	Watch
	3.2	4.2	1.83
	3.22	4.3	1.88	Watch
	3.2	4.35	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.12)	4.29 ↑ (4.22)	1.86 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asiago
28.7%

Draw
21.6%

Olimpija Ljubljana
49.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.5%

21.9%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

21%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asiago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asiago than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Asiago - Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions

Users Predictions: Olimpija Ljubljana will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
56. Tomasello J. (G)	61. Horak L. (G)
89. Rigoni F.	20. Atwal A.
57. Cairns M.	72. Masic B.
18. Moutrey N.	65. Cerveny R.
26. Kaspick T.	9. Kerbashian K.
9. Misley B.	55. Sabolic R.
Line 2
4. Gios G.	7. Ege W.
11. Vallati G.	15. Gregorc B.
13. Saracino N.	70. Kapel R.
21. Gennaro M.	63. Bonino N.
14. Ierullo A.	8. Mahkovec M.
Line 3
16. Stevan M.	22. Hebar T.
17. Casetti L.	44. Crnovic A.
95. Magnabosco M.	19. Lavoie A.
19. Rigoni F.	96. Bicevskis M.
98. Turnbull C.	12. Simsic N.
Line 4
	86. Bohinc R.
	13. Pance Z.
	23. Sodja J.
	71. Mehle Z.
Substitutes
31. Kaarlehto K. (G)	30. Kolin L. (G)
54. Marcazzan G.
53. Miglioranzi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
01:03, 1 - 0, Gennaro M. (G), Ierullo A. (A),
08:36, 1 - 1, Kerbashian K. (G),
14:12, 1 - 2, Cerveny R. (G), Kerbashian K. (A), Sabolic R. (A2)
17:54, 2 - 2, Kaspick T. (G), Cairns M. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
14:31, 2 - 3, Bonino N. (G), Mahkovec M. (A), Kapel R. (A2)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Asiago won 1.

Asiago has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Olimpija is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olimpija will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Asiago won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 51:67 (average 2.6:3.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Asiago won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29:28 (average 3.6:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Asiago - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.52%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Asiago Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
10.01.25	Vienna Capitals - Asiago	4:2 ✺
08.01.25	Asiago - TWK Innsbruck	2:9 ✺
05.01.25	Pioneers Vorarlberg - Asiago	5:2 ✺
03.01.25	Asiago - Villacher	1:4 ✺
01.01.25	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Asiago	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HK Olimpija Ljubljana
Austrian Ice Hockey League
10.01.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2 ✺
08.01.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Villacher - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:5 penalties ✺
03.01.25	Fehérvár AV 19 - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Graz 99ers - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
26.12.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Asiago	3:2 OT
24.11.24	Asiago - Olimpija Ljubljana	5:3
27.09.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Asiago	2:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
13.09.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Asiago	5:2
Austrian Ice Hockey League
19.01.24	Asiago - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:5
30.12.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Asiago	4:2
29.10.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Asiago	5:1

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