Match Info

AUSTRIA: ICE Hockey League - Round 37

Date: 3 January 2025, Friday

Location: Hodegart (Asiago)


	Asiago		Villacher

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.5	1.73
	3.25	4	1.62
	3.45	4.45	1.77
	3.44	4.58	1.78	Watch
	3.4	4.33	1.7
	3.3	4.5	1.82	Watch
	3.45	4.45	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (3.43)	4.4 ↓ (4.46)	1.74 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asiago
26.9%

Draw
20.7%

Villacher
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

20.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

20.3%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asiago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Villacher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asiago than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Asiago - Villacher Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Fazio J. (G)	35. Cannata J. (G)
17. Casetti L.	2. MacPherson D.
24. Gazzola R.	95. Katic M.
18. Moutrey N.	72. Hughes J.
26. Kaspick T.	16. Hancock K.
28. Moncada L.	8. Rebernig M.
Line 2
4. Gios G.	96. Holway P.
11. Vallati G.	46. Wall A.
14. Ierullo A.	81. Richter M.
9. Misley B.	12. Pearson C.
13. Saracino N.	22. Scherbak N.
Line 3
89. Rigoni F.	10. Vallant T.
57. Cairns M.	77. Lindner P.
95. Magnabosco M.	42. Lanzinger B.
19. Rigoni F.	78. Maxa F.
98. Turnbull C.	40. Wallenta E.
Line 4
	7. Kulintsev D.
	86. Lanzinger F.
	74. Coatta M.
	14. Tschurnig J.
Substitutes
71. Porco N.	37. Swette R. (G)
32. Santangelo R. (G)
16. Stevan M.
40. Zampieri S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
11:43, 0 - 1, Scherbak N. (G),
14:54, 1 - 1, Zampieri S. (G), Stevan M. (A), Cairns M. (A2)
16:03, 1 - 2, Rebernig M. (G), Hughes J. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
10:00, 1 - 3, Pearson C. (G), Lanzinger B. (A), Richter M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
16:57, 1 - 4, Holway P. (G), Rebernig M. (A), Wallenta E. (A2)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Asiago won 0.

Asiago has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Villach is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Villach is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Villach to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Asiago won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 32:50 (average 3.2:5).

Including matches at home between the teams Asiago won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19:20 (average 3.8:4).

Last Results with these Odds

Asiago - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 26.95%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Asiago Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
01.01.25	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Asiago	3:1 ✺
30.12.24	EC KAC - Asiago	3:0 ✺
28.12.24	Asiago - Bolzano	4:5 OT ✺
26.12.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Asiago	3:2 OT ✺
22.12.24	Asiago - Pioneers Vorarlberg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Villacher SV Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
01.01.25	Villacher - Fehérvár AV 19	5:4 penalties ✺
30.12.24	Bolzano - Villacher	3:2 ✺
28.12.24	TWK Innsbruck - Villacher	4:5 OT ✺
26.12.24	Villacher - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	4:1 ✺
22.12.24	Villacher - Graz 99ers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
29.11.24	Asiago - Villacher	5:6
03.11.24	Villacher - Asiago	10:2
13.02.24	Asiago - Villacher	2:4
22.12.23	Villacher - Asiago	6:3
01.11.23	Asiago - Villacher	3:4 OT
26.09.23	Villacher - Asiago	2:1 penalties
19.02.23	Asiago - Villacher	6:1

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