Match Info

AUSTRIA: ICE Hockey League - Round 42

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Hodegart (Asiago)


	Asiago		Pustertal-Val Pusteria

	1	X	2
	3.2	4.3	1.83
	3.6	4.55	1.72	Watch
	3.54	4.76	1.73	Watch
	3.4	4.33	1.75
	3.63	4.5	1.73	Watch
	3.45	4.55	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.13)	4.5 ↑ (4.28)	1.75 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asiago
26.7%

Draw
20.6%

Pustertal-Val Pusteria
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

21.5%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

20.5%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asiago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Pustertal-Val Pusteria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asiago than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pustertal-Val Pusteria than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Asiago - Pustertal Val Pusteria Predictions

Users Predictions: Pustertal-Val Pusteria will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kaarlehto K. (G)	25. Bernard A. (G)
89. Rigoni F.	20. Wesley J.
57. Cairns M.	21. Glira D.
98. Turnbull C.	81. Akeson J.
21. Gennaro M.	92. Findlay B.
14. Ierullo A.	34. Purdeller T.
Line 2
4. Gios G.	55. Zanatta L.
11. Vallati G.	16. Andersen O.
13. Saracino N.	91. Petan A.
26. Kaspick T.	67. Frycklund M.
9. Misley B.	14. Coulter T.
Line 3
53. Benetti S.	18. Bouramman G.
17. Casetti L.	7. Althuber I.
95. Magnabosco M.	40. Andergassen R.
19. Rigoni F.	41. Lacroix C.
71. Porco N.	22. Mantinger M.
Line 4
54. Marcazzan G.	54. Conci D.
16. Stevan M.	61. Lobis A.
40. Zampieri S.	46. Deluca I.
Substitutes
33. Costantini M. (G)	80. Pasquale E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
08:31, 1 - 0, Turnbull C. (G), Vallati G. (A), Ierullo A. (A2)
12:08, 2 - 0, Cairns M. (G), Kaspick T. (A),
14:40, 3 - 0, Kaspick T. (G), Cairns M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
10:51, 3 - 1, Coulter T. (G), Zanatta L. (A), Petan A. (A2)
18:26, 4 - 1, Gennaro M. (G), Turnbull C. (A), Cairns M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:01, 5 - 1, Gennaro M. (G), Turnbull C. (A),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Asiago won 3.

Asiago has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Val Pusteria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Val Pusteria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Val Pusteria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Asiago won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 50:50 (average 2.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Asiago won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 28:21 (average 3.1:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Asiago - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.5%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Asiago Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
12.01.25	Asiago - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:3 ✺
10.01.25	Vienna Capitals - Asiago	4:2 ✺
08.01.25	Asiago - TWK Innsbruck	2:9 ✺
05.01.25	Pioneers Vorarlberg - Asiago	5:2 ✺
03.01.25	Asiago - Villacher	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HC Pustertal-Val Pusteria
Austrian Ice Hockey League
15.01.25	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Black Wings Linz	2:3 OT ✺
12.01.25	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Fehérvár AV 19	5:0 ✺
10.01.25	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - EC KAC	4:3 ✺
08.01.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Bolzano - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
01.01.25	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Asiago	3:1
27.11.24	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Asiago	2:3 OT
27.10.24	Asiago - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	2:7
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
05.09.24	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Asiago	2:4
Austrian Ice Hockey League
28.01.24	Asiago - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	6:3
03.01.24	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Asiago	4:3 OT
27.10.23	Asiago - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	2:0

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