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Current Win Probability
Banská Bystrica 39.4%
Draw 23%
HC Dukla Trenčín 37.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.1%
22.3%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
23.5%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Banská Bystrica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
HC Dukla Trenčín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banská Bystrica than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC Dukla Trenčín than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HC Dukla Trenčín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Banská Bystrica - HC Dukla Trenčín Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Gajan M. (G)
34. Hrenak D. (G)
75. Michalcin C.
89. Ferenc J.
54. Cesanek B.
74. Hlavac M.
22. Soltes D.
92. Bubela M.
55. Valach M.
72. Linden T.
9. Faith R.
18. Kalis M.
Line 2
6. Zabka B.
58. Merkley R.
27. Fereta S.
2. Mikus J.
86. Loshing Y.
22. Lunter L.
42. Ticar R.
26. Barron T.
97. Gron S.
25. Paricka A.
Line 3
77. Kubka B.
33. Hatala A.
11. Meszaros K.
7. Hain S.
21. Matousek T.
4. Descheneau J.
24. Zigo T.
27. Krivosik F.
72. Kabac M.
31. Lakatos D.
Line 4
36. Kadyrov D.
5. Krsak M.
67. Varga A.
11. Dudas T.
23. Tomka L.
91. Krajc S.
14. Jendek D.
9. Siska J.
41. Kudrna A.
Substitutes
80. Lackovic J. (G)
30. Latkoczy S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
04:54, 1 - 0, Kabac M. (G), Michalcin C. (A), Ticar R. (A2)
16:03, 2 - 0, Tomka L. (G), Matousek T. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
12:27, 2 - 1, Bubela M. (G), Mikus J. (A), Merkley R. (A2)
17:42, 2 - 2, Barron T. (G), Lunter L. (A), Paricka A. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
12:43, 2 - 3, Lakatos D. (G), Descheneau J. (A), Merkley R. (A2)
14:16, 3 - 3, Faith R. (G), Jendek D. (A), Valach M. (A2)
17:12, 4 - 3, Jendek D. (G), Valach M. (A), Faith R. (A2)
19:29, 5 - 3, Valach M. (G), Michalcin C. (A), Zabka B. (A2)
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 7th in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banská Bystrica won 5.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Banská Bystrica has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:48 (averaging 3.3:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Banská Bystrica against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 31:20 goals (averaging 3.4:2.2 per game).