Match Info

OHL

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Slush Puppie Place (Kingston, ON)


	Kingston Frontenacs		Sarnia Sting

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.82	4.06
	1.55	4.72	4.32	Watch
	1.60	4.75	4.00
	1.51	4.40	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.76)	4.67 ↑ (4.43)	4.17 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kingston Frontenacs
58.4%

Draw
19.6%

Sarnia Sting
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

20.8%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kingston Frontenacs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kingston Frontenacs's performance.

Sarnia Sting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Kingston Frontenacs - Sarnia Sting Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kingston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Minchak M. (G)	31. Osipenko K. (G)
22. Buttar N.	6. Aucoin C. (A)
13. Christie G.	18. Campbell D.
6. Cook B.	84. Challenger T.
92. D'Andrea D.	17. Di Iorio A.
8. Goljer A.	41. Emerton C. (A)
77. Henderson M.	71. Gaughan C.
47. Kelly A.	27. Gulbrandsen J.
41. Kulemin A.	26. Hawery L.
91. Kuzma R.	15. Herres W.
9. Mclean A.	53. Holmes P.
86. Misiak A.	9. Jaworski S.
25. Mondoux A. (A)	24. Katolicky S.
10. Pobezal T. (A)	93. Lammens B.
55. Prud'homme L.	55. Manza M.
74. Snyder N.	43. Pickersgill L.
71. Vanacker R.	2. Sgro A.
27. Williamson V. (C)	14. Van Volsen J. (A)
36. Wright L.	11. Walos E.
Substitutes
29. Smith R. (G)	34. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
09:57, 0 - 1, Holmes P. (G), Gaughan C. (A),
14:17, 1 - 1, Pobezal T. (G), Cook B. (A), Buttar N. (A2)
17:36, 1 - 2, Walos E. (G), Van Volsen J. (A), Aucoin C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
10:32, 1 - 3, Herres W. (G), Holmes P. (A), Walos E. (A2)
13:05, 1 - 4, Lammens B. (G), Sgro A. (A), Di Iorio A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
06:26, 1 - 5, Aucoin C. (G), Lammens B. (A),
10:39, 2 - 5, Buttar N. (G),
19:23, 3 - 5, Williamson V. (G), Snyder N. (A), Kulemin A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kingston won 4.

Kingston could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Kingston carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kingston has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 81:72 (averaging 4.1:3.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kingston against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 45:33 goals (averaging 4.5:3.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Kingston Frontenacs - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.3%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Sarnia Sting - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 26.92%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kingston Frontenacs
OHL
20.09.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Ottawa 67s	3:2 AET ✺
17.09.26	Peterborough Petes - Kingston Frontenacs	3:6 ✺
02.04.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Ottawa 67s	2:3 ✺
31.03.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Ottawa 67s	1:4 ✺
29.03.26	Ottawa 67s - Kingston Frontenacs	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLL
- Sarnia Sting
OHL
24.09.26	Peterborough Petes - Sarnia Sting	7:4 ✺
19.09.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Sarnia Sting	3:4 ✺
21.03.26	Saginaw Spirit - Sarnia Sting	3:4 OT ✺
20.03.26	Kitchener Rangers - Sarnia Sting	3:4 ✺
18.03.26	Sarnia Sting - Erie Otters	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 48.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
11.01.26	Sarnia Sting - Kingston Frontenacs	3:1
16.11.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Sarnia Sting	5:2
02.02.25	Sarnia Sting - Kingston Frontenacs	2:4
08.12.24	Kingston Frontenacs - Sarnia Sting	6:2
10.03.24	Sarnia Sting - Kingston Frontenacs	1:4
10.11.23	Kingston Frontenacs - Sarnia Sting	5:3
18.03.23	Sarnia Sting - Kingston Frontenacs	4:3

Kingston Frontenacs - Sarnia Sting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide