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Current Win Probability
Barrie Colts 28.9%
Draw 20.9%
Sarnia Sting 50.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.7%
21.4%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
22.4%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrie Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Sarnia Sting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrie Colts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarnia Sting, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barrie Colts - Sarnia Sting Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
70. Nikonovich M. (G)
31. Osipenko K. (G)
2. Desiderio N.
6. Aucoin C. (A)
37. Edgar E. (A)
18. Campbell D.
98. Figliomeni A.
84. Challenger T.
16. Handsor J.
17. Di Iorio A. (C)
24. Lombardi B.
23. Dunn M.
85. Lowe C. (A)
41. Emerton C. (A)
22. Matheson L.
71. Gaughan C.
55. Matousek E.
26. Hawery L.
74. McNally D.
15. Herres W.
8. Mogull S.
53. Holmes P.
88. Passmore E. (C)
9. Jaworski S.
6. Ruggere M.
24. Katolicky S.
11. Schneid W.
93. Lammens B.
20. Shargorodsky P.
55. Manza M.
19. Tang M.
8. Sewell C.
81. Testa L.
2. Sgro A.
89. Tsherna D.
14. Van Volsen J. (A)
21. Yurkiw R.
11. Walos E.
Substitutes
33. Bach H. (G)
34. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
16:44, 1 - 0, Lowe C. (G), Lombardi B. (A), McNally D. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 2)
02:26, 2 - 0, Shargorodsky P. (G), Yurkiw R. (A), Desiderio N. (A2)
08:56, 3 - 0, Tsherna D. (G),
12:47, 4 - 0, Edgar E. (G), Lowe C. (A), Tang M. (A2)
14:39, 4 - 1, Van Volsen J. (G), Di Iorio A. (A), Emerton C. (A2)
17:23, 4 - 2, Lammens B. (G), Gaughan C. (A), Manza M. (A2)
17:56, 5 - 2, Tang M. (G), Lombardi B. (A), Edgar E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
16:22, 5 - 3, Dunn M. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrie won 5.
Barrie has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Sarnia have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sarnia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sarnia has had a run of games away from home.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sarnia holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Barrie has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:77 (averaging 2.7:3.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Barrie against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 19:41 goals (averaging 1.9:4.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Barrie Colts - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 32.7%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Nikonovich M. (G) 
Osipenko K. (G) 
Desiderio N. 
Matousek E. 
Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G) 
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