The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barrie Colts 27.7%
Draw 21.4%
Kitchener Rangers 50.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
21.4%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
22.7%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrie Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrie Colts's form might have worsened.
Kitchener Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kitchener Rangers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrie Colts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitchener Rangers than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kitchener Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
62. Hrebik B. (G)
65. Kirsch C. (G)
77. Aitcheson K. (C)
5. Andonovski M. (A)
14. Crombie C.
9. Anstis A.
2. Desiderio N.
11. Arquette C.
37. Edgar E.
89. Bilecki A.
78. Eliasson G.
8. Campbell C. (A)
41. Emerton C.
20. Chiarot G.
25. Gardiner B. (A)
16. Edwards D.
91. Gauvreau L.
19. Ellinas L.
16. Handsor J.
13. Ellis H.
28. Hemming E.
61. Hlacar M.
85. Lowe C.
48. Humphreys C.
83. McCormick J.
37. Lam T.
84. Newton J.
43. MacNiel A.
88. Passmore E. (A)
23. O'Reilly S.
11. Schneid W.
24. Pridham J.
6. Von Richter P.
18. Reid C. (C)
53. Wilmott B.
86. Romano L. (A)
19. Zebeski M.
27. Vermeulen A.
51. Woolley J.
Substitutes
1. Jaswal A. (G)
39. Schaubel J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
13:38, 0 - 1, Romano L. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
15:59, 0 - 2, Chiarot G. (G),
16:13, 1 - 2, Hemming E. (G), Gardiner B. (A), Emerton C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
08:08, 2 - 2, Edgar E. (G), Gardiner B. (A), Newton J. (A2)
10:12, 2 - 3, Humphreys C. (G), Campbell C. (A), Reid C. (A2)
19:44, 2 - 4, O'Reilly S. (G), Edwards D. (A),
Preview
Kitchener Rangers leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrie won 2.
In recent matches, Barrie has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kitchener is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Kitchener will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barrie won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 55:83. (average 2.8:4.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Barrie won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:34. (average 3.3:3.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Barrie Colts - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Kitchener Rangers - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.41%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Hrebik B. (G) 
Kirsch C. (G) 
Anstis A. 
Eliasson G. 
Hemming E. 
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