Match Info

OHL

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Peterborough Memorial Centre (Peterborough, ON)


	Peterborough Petes		Sarnia Sting

	1	X	2
	1.79	4.56	3.41
	1.84	4.52	3.11	Watch
	1.76	4.50	3.35
	1.69	4.30	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.87)	4.47 ↓ (4.49)	3.32 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough Petes
51.8%

Draw
20.5%

Sarnia Sting
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

20.6%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough Petes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Sarnia Sting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Peterborough Petes - Sarnia Sting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Nelson O. (G)	34. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
15. Cameron C.	6. Aucoin C.
7. Carter H.	33. Aucoin K.
13. Clarke J.	84. Challenger T.
24. Dennis C.	17. Di Iorio A.
4. Hartnell C.	23. Dunn M.
12. Kolarik L.	41. Emerton C.
10. Levac A.	71. Gaughan C.
44. Lutz Y.	27. Gulbrandsen J.
29. McCallum B.	26. Hawery L.
21. McMurray J.	15. Herres W.
27. Minsky M.	53. Holmes P.
16. Novotny A.	24. Katolicky S.
18. Parish F.	93. Lammens B.
72. Perreault M.	55. Manza M.
35. Roulston L.	8. Sewell C.
6. Strohack G.	2. Sgro A.
9. Xu J.	14. Van Volsen J.
26. Young A.	11. Walos E.
Substitutes
37. Johnston M. (G)	31. Osipenko K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
02:32, 0 - 1, Challenger T. (G), Gaughan C. (A),
14:37, 1 - 1, Novotny A. (G),
15:02, 2 - 1, Novotny A. (G), Levac A. (A),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
07:44, 2 - 2, Walos E. (G), Emerton C. (A), Van Volsen J. (A2)
09:23, 3 - 2, McCallum B. (G), Lutz Y. (A), Young A. (A2)
09:52, 4 - 2, Cameron C. (G), McMurray J. (A),
13:24, 5 - 2, Cameron C. (G), Parish F. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
09:43, 6 - 2, Kolarik L. (G), Novotny A. (A), Dennis C. (A2)
12:43, 6 - 3, Walos E. (G), Di Iorio A. (A), Hawery L. (A2)
17:42, 6 - 4, Lammens B. (G), Sgro A. (A),
18:01, 7 - 4, Dennis C. (G), Novotny A. (A), Levac A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 3.

Sarnia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Peterborough holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Peterborough has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 65:73 (averaging 3.3:3.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Peterborough against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 32:35 goals (averaging 3.2:3.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Peterborough Petes - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.44%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Sarnia Sting - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.99%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough Petes
OHL
18.09.26	Sudbury Wolves - Peterborough Petes	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Peterborough Petes - Kingston Frontenacs	3:6 ✺
04.04.26	North Bay Battalion - Peterborough Petes	5:4 OT ✺
02.04.26	Peterborough Petes - North Bay Battalion	1:3 ✺
31.03.26	North Bay Battalion - Peterborough Petes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sarnia Sting
OHL
19.09.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Sarnia Sting	3:4 ✺
21.03.26	Saginaw Spirit - Sarnia Sting	3:4 OT ✺
20.03.26	Kitchener Rangers - Sarnia Sting	3:4 ✺
18.03.26	Sarnia Sting - Erie Otters	6:3 ✺
15.03.26	Sarnia Sting - Saginaw Spirit	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 48.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
24.01.26	Sarnia Sting - Peterborough Petes	2:5
13.11.25	Peterborough Petes - Sarnia Sting	5:3
08.02.25	Sarnia Sting - Peterborough Petes	3:2 penalties
05.12.24	Peterborough Petes - Sarnia Sting	3:2 OT
03.01.24	Sarnia Sting - Peterborough Petes	2:1
09.11.23	Peterborough Petes - Sarnia Sting	1:2 penalties
12.01.23	Peterborough Petes - Sarnia Sting	2:4

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