Match Info

VHL

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Sports Sarae (Kazan)


	Bars Kazan		Rubin Tyumen

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.47	2.85
	2.36	3.78	2.61	Watch
	2.28	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.55)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	2.64 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
39%

Draw
26%

Rubin Tyumen
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.7%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

28%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Rubin Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Bars Kazan - Rubin Tyumen Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Rubin will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)	90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)
71. Samigullin R.	55. Stikhanovsky M.
24. Bogatov N. (A)	12. Lyutov D.
41. Klimkin I.	27. Davydov D.
9. Alshevsky S. (A)	10. Petrakov I.
17. Gizatullin D.	23. Lazarev M.
Line 2
22. Bardin I.	7. Brinkmann A.
60. Lisov N.	11. Popov Y.
10. Galeyev I.	53. Voevodin D.
98. Saberzyanov M.	86. Gorbunov D.
93. Barsukov I.	80. Koshurnikov K.
Line 3
84. Safin A.	48. Isayev I.
75. Ivanov A.	76. Kartashov A.
61. Khasanov I.	43. Voronkov P.
28. Golubev D. (C)	57. Kanitsky Y.
55. Sherstnyov D.	82. Reshetko M.
Line 4
53. Makhmutov A.	63. Perelyavev S.
88. Alshevsky Y.	66. Piliya D.
72. Mekhovov I.	85. Styozhkin I.
23. Zinovyev D.	3. Ivanov Y. D.
Substitutes
80. Chibizov A. (G)	22. Babenko Y.
32. Vasilkov A.	30. Lozebnikov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
06:35, 1 - 0, Alshevsky S. (G), Gizatullin D. (A), Samigullin R. (A2)
11:25, 1 - 1, Voevodin D. (G), Koshurnikov K. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:14, 2 - 1, Alshevsky S. (G), Sherstnyov D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Rubin is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 2.

In recent matches, Bars has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rubin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bars won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 36:46. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bars won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 2:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
21	Bars	12	5	0	1	6	28:41	11
22	Rubin Tyumen	10	2	3	0	5	22:27	10

Last Results with these Odds

Rubin Tyumen - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.65%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
14.03.26	Bars Kazan - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2 OT ✺
12.03.26	Bars Kazan - Omskie Krylia	1:0 OT ✺
10.03.26	Bars Kazan - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	CSK VVS Samara - Bars Kazan	4:2 ✺
01.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL
- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
14.03.26	Chelny - Rubin Tyumen	1:4 ✺
12.03.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rubin Tyumen	4:3 penalties ✺
03.03.26	Rubin Tyumen - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Rubin Tyumen - SKA-VMF	3:2 OT ✺
25.02.26	Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
08.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Bars Kazan	4:0
15.02.25	Rubin Tyumen - Bars Kazan	4:0
03.10.24	Bars Kazan - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 penalties
07.01.24	Rubin Tyumen - Bars Kazan	2:0
16.10.23	Bars Kazan - Rubin Tyumen	2:1 penalties
29.11.22	Rubin Tyumen - Bars Kazan	1:2 penalties
17.11.22	Bars Kazan - Rubin Tyumen	1:0

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