Match Info

VHL

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Zvezda Moscow		Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.59	2.83
	2.25	3.78	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.25)	3.69 ↓ (3.9)	2.82 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
41.3%

Draw
25.4%

Bars Kazan
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

24.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

25.6%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+3%)

Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Novozhilov I. (G)	40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)
80. Barabosha A.	53. Makhmutov A.
48. Barantsev D. (A)	60. Lisov N.
87. Yapparov Y.	61. Khasanov I.
98. Pankratov S. (A)	9. Alshevsky S. (A)
77. Solovyov Y.	17. Gizatullin D.
Line 2
3. Sidorov M.	24. Bogatov N. (A)
8. Bobryashov N.	71. Samigullin R.
69. Maistrenko O.	10. Galeyev I.
19. Prokhorov A. (C)	98. Saberzyanov M.
23. Khulapov D.	93. Barsukov I.
Line 3
76. Shuravin M.	16. Toporkov V.
6. Gordeyev M.	84. Safin A.
56. Vlasenko D.	41. Klimkin I.
25. Lazutin D.	28. Golubev D. (C)
42. Savvateyev V.	88. Alshevsky Y.
Line 4
49. Bryutov Y.	5. Mubaraksins A.
62. Shalyshkin N.	55. Sherstnyov D.
75. Averochkin M.	23. Zinovyev D.
79. Dronyk V.	32. Vasilkov A.
Substitutes
45. Gluschenko R. (G)	80. Chibizov A. (G)
	89. Kalimullin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
08:33, 0 - 1, Gizatullin D. (G), Samigullin R. (A),
12:39, 0 - 2, Galeyev I. (G), Khasanov I. (A),
13:50, 1 - 2, Savvateyev V. (G), Vlasenko D. (A), Lazutin D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
05:21, 2 - 2, Yapparov Y. (G),
12:14, 3 - 2, Vlasenko D. (G), Savvateyev V. (A), Lazutin D. (A2)
13:46, 3 - 3, Saberzyanov M. (G), Galeyev I. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
01', 4 - 3, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Zvezda Moscow may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 50:36. (average 2.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:11. (average 3.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
21	Bars	12	5	0	1	6	28:41	11
26	Zvezda Moscow	12	2	2	1	7	26:37	9

Last Results with these Odds

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.7%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Bars Kazan - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.24%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
22.02.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Zvezda Moscow	1:4 ✺
20.02.26	SKA-VMF - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk	4:1 ✺
13.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:2 ✺
11.02.26	Zvezda Moscow - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWL
- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
27.02.26	Khimik - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
25.02.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Bars Kazan	5:0 ✺
19.02.26	Bars Kazan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:1 ✺
17.02.26	Bars Kazan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:1 ✺
15.02.26	Bars Kazan - Chelmet	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
15.09.25	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	1:5
03.03.25	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	3:1
15.09.24	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	7:3
26.12.23	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	3:1
14.10.23	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	1:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
18.08.23	Bars Kazan - Zvezda Moscow	4:3 OT
VHL
02.02.23	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	4:3 penalties

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