Match Info

VHL

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ledovy Dvorets Sporta (Naberezhnye Chelny) 🌤️ ...


	Chelny		Rubin Tyumen

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.62	1.59
	4.44	4.45	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (4.46)	4.54 ↓ (4.58)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelny
20.8%

Draw
20.7%

Rubin Tyumen
58.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21%

20.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

21.4%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Rubin Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Chelny - Rubin Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
80. Gorokhov N. (G)	30. Lozebnikov D. (G)
5. Davydov D.	55. Stikhanovsky M.
72. Kolmagorov K. (A)	12. Lyutov D. (A)
10. Ustimkin M.	27. Davydov D. (C)
94. Sherstobitov D.	10. Petrakov I.
22. Minnekhanov B. (A)	23. Lazarev M.
Line 2
44. Vinogradov A.	7. Brinkmann A.
63. Biktashev S.	11. Popov Y.
59. Anufriev I.	9. Ivanov S.
68. Silayev I. (C)	86. Gorbunov D.
29. Manukyan A.	80. Koshurnikov K.
Line 3
19. Zakharov N.	48. Isayev I. (A)
73. Goloshchapov K.	63. Perelyavev S.
97. Smirnov N.	43. Voronkov P.
25. Rakhcheev I.	82. Reshetko M.
18. Guskov I.	53. Voevodin D.
Line 4
62. Naumov G.	76. Kartashov A.
86. Minnekhanov T.	36. Kholikov T.
26. Tarasov A.	66. Piliya D.
9. Nasyrov M.	85. Styozhkin I.
	3. Ivanov Y. D.
Substitutes
20. Smirnov A. (G)	90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 4)
02', 0 - 1, Piliya D. (G), Styozhkin I. (A),
14:27, 0 - 2, Brinkmann A. (G), Davydov D. (A), Petrakov I. (A2)
17:02, 1 - 2, Silayev I. (G), Sherstobitov D. (A), Davydov D. (A2)
18:13, 1 - 3, Voevodin D. (G),
19:27, 1 - 4, Ivanov Y. D. (G),

Preview

Recent form of Chelny has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rubin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rubin is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 2:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:8. (average 2:4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
17	Rubin Tyumen	16	3	5	2	6	37:40	18

Last Results with these Odds

Chelny - the odds 4.46 are the expected chance of winning is 20.98%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelny
VHL
12.03.26	Chelny - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:6 ✺
07.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - Chelny	2:3 OT ✺
05.03.26	Khimik - Chelny	4:2 ✺
03.03.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Chelny	2:1 penalties ✺
25.02.26	Chelny - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLL
- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
12.03.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rubin Tyumen	4:3 penalties ✺
03.03.26	Rubin Tyumen - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Rubin Tyumen - SKA-VMF	3:2 OT ✺
25.02.26	Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:5 ✺
22.02.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
10.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Chelny	1:2 OT
17.02.25	Rubin Tyumen - Chelny	3:2
05.10.24	Chelny - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 penalties
17.12.23	Chelny - Rubin Tyumen	1:6
27.10.23	Rubin Tyumen - Chelny	4:2

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