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Current Win Probability
Bern 34%
Draw 22.2%
ZSC Lions 43.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.8%
22.4%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
23.7%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ZSC Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bern than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZSC Lions than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ZSC Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bern - ZSC Lions Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
50. von Burg C. (G)
30. Hrubec S. (G)
5. Mitchell I.
6. Weber Y.
4. Dionicio R.
56. Berni T.
71. Bemstrom E.
36. Knak S.
15. Aaltonen M.
62. Malgin D.
78. Grossniklaus J.
10. Andrighetto S. (A)
Line 2
51. Rhyn N.
46. Kukan D.
57. Barandun D.
54. Marti Ch.
19. Merela W. (C)
28. Froden J.
81. Abols R.
27. Grant D.
96. Mottard P.
38. Balcers R.
Line 3
34. Balestra N.
44. Lehtonen M. (A)
37. Lindholm A.
4. Geering P. (C)
83. Muller M.
79. Bader T.
98. Baumgartner B. (A)
83. Lammikko J.
64. Alge M.
73. Gruber K.
Line 4
41. Kindschi S.
33. Schwendeler J.
44. Kreis S.
8. Riedi W.
91. Ritzmann F.
13. Sigrist J.
43. Graf A. (A)
18. Baechler N.
10. Scherwey T.
Substitutes
30. Hughes C. (G)
14. Baltisberger Ch.
40. Zumbuhl R. (G)
Coaches
. Aubin S.
. Julien C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
05:39, Knak S. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:14, 0 - 1, Geering P. (G), Lammikko J. (A),
06:42, Lindholm A. (2 min),
08:21, Graf A. (2 min),
08:30, 0 - 2, Lehtonen M. (G), Balcers R. (A), Lammikko J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
05:14, Froden J. (2 min),
07:32, 1 - 2, Bemstrom E. (G), Scherwey T. (A),
09:20, 1 - 3, Sigrist J. (G), Baechler N. (A),
16:16, 1 - 4, Weber Y. (G), Froden J. (A), Balcers R. (A2)
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 1st in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bern won 3.
Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bern has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:63 (averaging 2.5:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bern against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 23:27 goals (averaging 2.3:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Zurich
16
12
3
0
1
67:35
42
6
Bern
15
6
2
3
4
41:38
25
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Zurich: 28.78% Bern: 7.92%
Last Results with these Odds
Bern - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.79%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
ZSC Lions - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.8%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.
Switzerland
Ukraine
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von Burg C. (G) 
Hrubec S. (G) 
Mitchell I. 
Bemstrom E. 
Aaltonen M. 
Abols R. 
Baumgartner B. (A) 
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