The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bern 49.1%
Draw 21.6%
Lugano 29.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.7%
21.9%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
22.8%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bern than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bern that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Bern - Lugano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Hughes C. (G)
34. Schlegel N. (G)
5. Mitchell I.
26. Aebischer D.
4. Dionicio R.
9. Zanetti B.
71. Bemstrom E.
17. Fazzini L. (C)
15. Aaltonen M.
21. Sanford Z.
66. Milano S.
27. Henry C.
Line 2
51. Rhyn N.
60. Thomson L.
44. Kreis S.
25. Muller M. (A)
19. Merela W. (C)
19. Kupari R.
81. Abols R.
7. Tanner R.
78. Grossniklaus J.
12. Innala J.
Line 3
34. Balestra N.
5. Guebey E.
57. Barandun D.
22. Alatalo S. (A)
83. Muller M.
91. Olsson D.
98. Baumgartner B. (A)
73. Shore N.
64. Alge M.
15. Lycksell O.
Line 4
41. Kindschi S.
81. Togni E.
14. Fullemann L.
72. Besanidis A.
91. Ritzmann F.
23. Morini G.
43. Graf A. (A)
13. Peltonen A.
10. Scherwey T.
Substitutes
50. von Burg C. (G)
88. Mayer R. (G)
45. Togni D.
Coaches
. Aubin S.
. Mitell T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:07, 1 - 0, Alge M. (G), Dionicio R. (A),
10:43, Muller M. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:34, Fullemann L. (2 min),
14:23, 1 - 1, Innala J. (G), Kupari R. (A),
14:45, Dionicio R. (2 min),
15:17, Tanner R. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:20, 2 - 1, Merela W. (G), Mitchell I. (A), Abols R. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 6th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bern won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Bern is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Bern in today's match, at odds of 1.86.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bern has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:60 (averaging 2.4:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bern against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 23:29 goals (averaging 2.3:2.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Bern
16
7
2
3
4
45:39
28
11
Lugano
17
6
1
2
8
53:58
22
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Bern: 7.92% Lugano: 4.38%
Last Results with these Odds
Bern - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.74%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Lugano - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.4%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Hughes C. (G) 
Mitchell I. 
Bemstrom E. 
Aaltonen M. 
Sanford Z. 
Abols R. 
Guebey E. 
Olsson D. 
Baumgartner B. (A) 
Morini G. 
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