Match Info

SHL - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Winpos Arena (Umea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Björklöven		Frölunda

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.5	1.81
	3.50	4.33	1.80
	3.5	4.55	1.85
	3.58	3.72	1.88
	3.39	4.09	1.9	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.84
	3.38	4.25	1.88	Watch
	3.4	3.95	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.38)	4.12 ↑ (4.07)	1.85 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Björklöven
26.8%

Draw
22.7%

Frölunda
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

22.9%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

24.1%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Björklöven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Frölunda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Björklöven than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frölunda than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Björklöven - Frölunda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - SHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - SHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Frölunda may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Frölunda holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Frolunda	7	5	1	0	1	24:17	17
3	IF Bjorkloven	7	4	1	0	2	19:18	14

Last Results with these Odds

Frölunda - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.42%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Björklöven
SHL
08.10.26	Brynäs - Björklöven	4:1 ✺
03.10.26	Linköping - Björklöven	2:3 ✺
01.10.26	Björklöven - Växjö Lakers	4:2 ✺
29.09.26	Björklöven - HV71	4:2 ✺
26.09.26	Björklöven - Färjestad	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWWL
- Frölunda HC
SHL
08.10.26	Timrå - Frölunda	4:1 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
06.10.26	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Frölunda	3:2 OT ✺
SHL
03.10.26	Frölunda - Djurgården	4:2 ✺
01.10.26	Frölunda - Brynäs	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Malmö Redhawks - Frölunda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWW

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