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Current Win Probability
Black Wings Linz 64.3%
Draw 18.2%
Ferencvárosi 17.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.4%
20.3%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
22.3%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Black Wings Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Black Wings Linz's performance.
Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferencvárosi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Black Wings Linz than the current prediction. (-15.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Black Wings Linz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferencvárosi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Black Wings Linz - Ferencvárosi Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Black Wings will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Black Wings (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Wells D. (G)
30. Nagy K. (G)
46. Wurschl N.
23. Hadobas Z.
28. Wimmer P.
13. Bengtsson R. (C)
27. Ouellette-St-Amant S.
61. Heljanko R.
49. Knott G.
25. Kestila A. (A)
12. Shaw B.
17. Mihalik A.
Line 2
3. Moro G. (A)
55. Ortenszky T.
84. Lindner L.
44. Tyni P.
7. Lebler B. (C)
93. Laskawy F.
24. Topping K.
62. Silye D.
92. Maier O.
8. Savoie C.
Line 3
13. Kragl G. (A)
22. Horvath M. (A)
23. Sollinger P.
29. Farkas O.
9. Romig E.
92. Tammela J.
72. Bliss T.
11. Ronni T.
14. Neubauer H.
41. Dobos M. B.
Line 4
96. Tialler C.
97. Schlekmann M.
22. Erne L.
77. Toth G.
66. Gaffal S.
94. Galajda Z.
52. Pusnik J.
Substitutes
45. Reder M. (G)
1. Balizs B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
00:21, 1 - 0, Lindner L. (G), Ouellette-St-Amant S. (A), Knott G. (A2)
10:33, 2 - 0, Topping K. (G), Bliss T. (A), Neubauer H. (A2)
18:28, 3 - 0, Ouellette-St-Amant S. (G), Shaw B. (A), Knott G. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 2)
02:25, 3 - 1, Heljanko R. (G), Silye D. (A),
09:45, 4 - 1, Lindner L. (G), Knott G. (A), Pusnik J. (A2)
10:39, 5 - 1, Erne L. (G), Wurschl N. (A), Pusnik J. (A2)
12:35, 5 - 2, Ronni T. (G), Dobos M. B. (A), Horvath M. (A2)
13:50, 6 - 2, Bliss T. (G), Tialler C. (A),
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 12th).
Black Wings is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Ferencvárosi have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Black Wings could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Black Wings has faced a series of away games on the road.
Black Wings carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Black Wings in today's match, at odds of 1.52.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Black Wings has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 17:8 (averaging 3.4:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Black Wings against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:2 goals (averaging 4:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Black Wings Linz
16
11
1
1
3
64:40
36
12
Ferencvaros
14
4
2
1
7
40:50
17
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Black Wings Linz: 3.79% Ferencvaros: 1.03%
Last Results with these Odds
Black Wings Linz - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.4%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Ferencvárosi - the odds 3.53 are the expected chance of winning is 26.32%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.