Match Info

NMHL

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday


	Samara		Bobrov

	1	X	2
	4.73	4.85	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 (4.73)	4.85 (4.85)	1.47 (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samara
19.3%

Draw
18.8%

Bobrov
62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

20.1%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Samara have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Bobrov have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bobrov than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Samara - Bobrov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
11:07, 0 - 1, Morozov N. (G), Kochetkov A. (A),
14:49, 1 - 1, Iljin A. (G), Sobirov S. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:39, 1 - 2, Karpov S. (G), Kosenko M. (A), Nikolenko K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
08:27, 1 - 3, Morozov N. (G), Nikolenko K. (A), Shakalov T. (A2)
18:57, 1 - 4, Nesterov R. (G), Morozov N. (A),
19:31, 1 - 5, Meshcheryakov A. (G), Kolesnikov M. (A),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Samara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Samara has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bobrov is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Samara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Samara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Samara
RHL
25.01.26	Samara - Bobrov	1:5 ✺
20.01.26	Belgorod - Samara	4:5 ✺
19.01.26	Belgorod - Samara	2:5 ✺
15.01.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Samara	3:2 ✺
14.01.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Samara	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL
- HC Bobrov
RHL
25.01.26	Samara - Bobrov	1:5 ✺
23.01.26	Kristall Saratov - Bobrov	1:4 ✺
22.01.26	Kristall Saratov - Bobrov	2:3 OT ✺
16.01.26	Bobrov - MHK Ryazan	2:3 ✺
15.01.26	Bobrov - MHK Ryazan	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
25.01.26	Samara - Bobrov	1:5
07.12.25	Bobrov - Samara	2:1
06.12.25	Bobrov - Samara	2:6

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