Match Info

SWEDEN: HockeyEttan Vastra - Round 14

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday


	Borlänge		Mariestad BoIS

	1	X	2
	5.45	4.95	1.38
	5.08	4.98	1.37
	5.61	5.31	1.4	Watch
	5.5	4.8	1.36
	5.87	5.2	1.37
	5.45	4.95	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.49 ↓ (6.02)	5.03 ↓ (5.3)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borlänge
16.4%

Draw
18%

Mariestad BoIS
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

17.3%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

16.8%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borlänge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Mariestad BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borlänge than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariestad BoIS than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Borlänge - Mariestad BoIS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:49, 1 - 0, Blank O. (G), Malm H. (A), Eriksson A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:27, 1 - 1, Aronsson T. (G), Wennlund M. (A), Smedberg E. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:21, 2 - 1, Johansson V. (G),
19:46, 2 - 2, Blomberg A. (G), Wennlund M. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:25, 2 - 3, Smedberg E. (G), Persson A. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borlänge won 0.

Borlänge is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mariestad is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mariestad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Borlänge have a series of guest games.

In this match Mariestad is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Borlänge won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 44:66 (average 2.2:3.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Borlänge won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:25 (average 2.3:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borlänge HF
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
24.11.24	Dalen - Borlänge	4:2 ✺
17.11.24	Grästorps - Borlänge	6:2 ✺
13.11.24	Tranås - Borlänge	2:4 ✺
09.11.24	Borås - Borlänge	4:2 ✺
03.11.24	Borlänge - Mjölby	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLWLL
- Mariestad BoIS HC
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
22.11.24	Mariestad BoIS - Lindlöven	4:3 OT ✺
15.11.24	Forshaga - Mariestad BoIS	4:2 ✺
13.11.24	Mariestad BoIS - Falu	1:0 OT ✺
02.11.24	Borås - Mariestad BoIS	5:2 ✺
27.10.24	Grästorps - Mariestad BoIS	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
09.10.24	Mariestad BoIS - Borlänge	3:1
06.12.23	Borlänge - Mariestad BoIS	0:4
25.10.23	Mariestad BoIS - Borlänge	5:3
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Norra
11.03.23	Borlänge - Mariestad BoIS	3:9
08.03.23	Mariestad BoIS - Borlänge	7:1
07.03.23	Mariestad BoIS - Borlänge	4:1
Swedish HockeyEttan Vastra
23.11.22	Mariestad BoIS - Borlänge	8:3

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