The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 44.1%
Draw 22.7%
New York Islanders 33.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.2%
21.2%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
21.5%
35.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
New York Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
72. Bobrovsky S. (G)
30. Sorokin I. (G)
43. Raddysh D.
48. Schaefer M.
22. McCabe J.
8. Stanley L.
96. Roslovic J.
92. Holmstrom S.
34. Matthews A. (C)
14. Horvat B. (C)
88. Nylander W.
63. Maccelli M.
Line 2
28. Stecher T.
6. Pulock R. (A)
44. Rielly M. (A)
3. Pelech A.
86. Marchenko K.
38. Eklund V.
20. Paul N.
64. Ritchie C.
53. Cowan E.
10. Schenn B. (A)
Line 3
3. Blankenburg N.
4. Kessel M.
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
77. DeAngelo A.
29. Groulx B. (A)
11. Duclair A.
15. Sissons C.
44. Pageau J.
92. McKenna G.
51. Heineman E.
Line 4
19. MacEwen Z.
21. Palmieri K.
73. Blueger T.
53. Cizikas C.
24. Duhaime B.
81. Palat O.
Substitutes
41. Stolarz A. (G)
40. Varlamov S. (G)
Coaches
. Hiller J.
. DeBoer P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
08:18, 0 - 1, Duclair A. (G), Pageau J. (A),
16:36, Raddysh D. (2 min),
18:26, Cowan E. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
18:33, 0 - 2, Horvat B. (G), Palmieri K. (A),
19:21, Pelech A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:23, Heineman E. (2 min),
03:54, 1 - 2, Sissons C. (G), Stecher T. (A), Cowan E. (A2)
10:10, Schaefer M. (2 min),
14:08, 1 - 3, Holmstrom S. (G), Horvat B. (A), Schaefer M. (A2)
17:55, 1 - 4, Holmstrom S. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Toronto: Domi M.
(Back Injury)
Joshua D.
(Abdominal strain)
Merzlikins E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tanev C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Wood M.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for NY Islanders: Barzal M.
(Knee Injury)
Romanov A.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Toronto: Tavares J.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:59 (averaging 2.7:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 25:21 goals (averaging 2.8:2.3 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.22% New York Islanders: 0.56%
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.19%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
New York Islanders - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.63%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
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Bobrovsky S. (G) 
Raddysh D. 
McCabe J. 
Holmstrom S. 
Maccelli M. 
Blueger T. 
Palat O. 
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