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Current Win Probability
Brampton Steelheads 25.6%
Draw 19.7%
Kingston Frontenacs 54.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.1%
20.6%
52.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
21.5%
50.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brampton Steelheads has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Kingston Frontenacs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brampton Steelheads than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kingston Frontenacs than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Ahmajarvi O. (G)
29. Smith R. (G)
29. Amidovski N.
22. Buttar N.
10. Ardagh K.
13. Christie G.
9. Carcone G.
6. Cook B.
44. Cartwright O.
92. D'Andrea D.
17. Demiglio L.
8. Goljer A.
4. Green P.
77. Henderson M.
24. Harding J.
41. Kulemin A.
58. Hicks C. (A)
91. Kuzma R.
18. Kuryachenkov S.
9. Mclean A.
12. Mikus E.
86. Misiak A.
11. Nanubhai A.
25. Mondoux A. (A)
14. Nyman Z.
10. Pobezal T. (A)
77. Patton T. (C)
55. Prud'homme L.
73. Richmond M. (A)
28. Robar T.
64. Roy M.
74. Snyder N.
97. Stankoven M.
15. Turnbull N.
13. Witkowski K. (A)
71. Vanacker R.
89. Yates J.
27. Williamson V. (C)
36. Wright L.
Substitutes
33. Johnson N. (G)
76. Minchak M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
10:40, 1 - 0, Ardagh K. (G), Carcone G. (A), Nyman Z. (A2)
16:50, 1 - 1, Mondoux A. (G), Buttar N. (A), Williamson V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:49, 1 - 2, Kulemin A. (G), Goljer A. (A), Kuzma R. (A2)
09:59, 1 - 3, Goljer A. (G), Kulemin A. (A), Snyder N. (A2)
17:09, 2 - 3, Amidovski N. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:41, 2 - 4, Wright L. (G), Pobezal T. (A), Misiak A. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brampton won 1.
Brampton has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Kingston has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Brampton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Brampton has faced a series of away games on the road.
Kingston is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Brampton has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:29 (averaging 2.8:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Brampton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:9 goals (averaging 3.3:2.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Brampton Steelheads - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Kingston Frontenacs - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.25%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.