The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brampton Steelheads 22.1%
Draw 20.1%
Saginaw Spirit 57.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
20.8%
48.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
21.3%
47.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brampton Steelheads has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brampton Steelheads's form might have worsened.
Saginaw Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saginaw Spirit's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brampton Steelheads than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brampton Steelheads, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saginaw Spirit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brampton Steelheads - Saginaw Spirit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Ahmajarvi O. (G)
30. Knowling B. (G)
29. Amidovski N.
72. Barnes B.
10. Ardagh K.
18. Bate D.
9. Carcone G.
42. Cloutier J. (A)
44. Cartwright O.
95. Geldart G.
17. Demiglio L.
5. Glavin J. (A)
4. Green P.
88. Hanrahan R.
24. Harding J.
7. Khotkov G.
58. Hicks C. (A)
86. Lauder K.
18. Kuryachenkov S.
12. Leenders H.
15. Larmand L.
24. Martyniuk T.
12. Mikus E.
2. Meyer K.
11. Nanubhai A.
93. Milojevic A.
14. Nyman Z.
62. Pepoy B.
77. Patton T. (C)
10. Savin D.
73. Richmond M. (A)
90. Schmidt S.
64. Roy M.
17. Velliaris X.
97. Stankoven M.
66. Wassilyn B.
89. Yates J.
71. Zhilkin D. (C)
Substitutes
33. Johnson N. (G)
63. Shurygin S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
13:13, 1 - 0, Ardagh K. (G), Amidovski N. (A), Hicks C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
12:30, 1 - 1, Wassilyn B. (G), Zhilkin D. (A),
18:26, 1 - 2, Zhilkin D. (G), Cloutier J. (A), Wassilyn B. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:48, 2 - 2, Carcone G. (G),
Overtime (0 - 1)
05', 2 - 3, (G),
Preview
Brampton has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Saginaw has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Saginaw could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Brampton has faced a series of away games on the road.
Saginaw is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Brampton has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:11 (averaging 3.5:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Brampton against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:4 goals (averaging 3:2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Saginaw Spirit - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.91%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.