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Current Win Probability
Brest 50.8%
Draw 22.9%
Neman Grodno 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
22.8%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
23.9%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Neman Grodno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Brest - Neman Grodno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Rumyantsev I. (G)
33. Karnaukhov M. (G)
22. Smirnov A. (A)
25. Krishtofik D.
91. Samchenko V.
98. Sokolovsky V.
68. Nikitich A.
40. Kuliyev V.
10. Melnikov M.
66. Uskov M.
11. Klavdiyev Y.
18. Murashov I.
Line 2
28. Shikut A.
27. Kul D.
15. Pozhigan O.
28. Makeyev N.
27. Tsybin M.
44. Kozyachy I.
7. Tyutchev D. (C)
86. Melnichenko K.
47. Kuchkin S. (A)
11. Omelyusik D.
Line 3
79. Soldatov R.
75. Boyarkin Y.
4. Kravchuk A.
12. Yeliseyev A.
5. Khodorovich N.
7. Avramenko Y.
18. Chemerinsky A.
97. Zhilyuk K.
71. Paramonov D.
23. Gretsky V.
Line 4
87. Gorin D.
87. Klopov A.
35. Lazarevich G.
13. Shapurko S.
12. Gerasimov S.
39. Gazdevich M.
21. Sergiyevsky Y.
93. Kapustin A.
Substitutes
74. Kozlovsky K. (G)
91. Bastrykin N.
17. Zhigalov V.
20. Osipkov A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
04:44, 0 - 1, Uskov M. (G), Kozyachy I. (A), Kuliyev V. (A2)
10:00, 1 - 1, Tsybin M. (G), Tyutchev D. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:06, 1 - 2, Murashov I. (G), Kuliyev V. (A),
18:21, 2 - 2, Nikitich A. (G), Klavdiyev Y. (A), Tyutchev D. (A2)
19:24, 3 - 2, Nikitich A. (G), Kuchkin S. (A), Pozhigan O. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
07:30, 4 - 2, Kuchkin S. (G), Soldatov R. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4.
Brest is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Neman is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
Brest is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Brest in today's match, at odds of 1.79.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Brest has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 46:44 (averaging 2.3:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Brest against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 27:19 goals (averaging 2.7:1.9 per game).