Match Info

NHL

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday

Location: KeyBank Center (Buffalo, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Buffalo Sabres		Edmonton Oilers

	1	X	2
	3.2	4.2	1.95	Watch
	3.01	4.39	2.03
	2.98	4.33	2.06
	2.79	4.56	2.08	Watch
	3.03	4.44	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.79)	4.38 ↓ (4.56)	2.03 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buffalo Sabres
31.6%

Draw
21.7%

Edmonton Oilers
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

20.7%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

19.4%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buffalo Sabres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Edmonton Oilers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	18.7%	56.2%

Buffalo Sabres - Edmonton Oilers Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Edmonton will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Edmonton: 32% – 80.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Edmonton (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Edmonton Oilers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Edmonton (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
92. Ellis C. (G)	74. Skinner S. (G)
26. Dahlin R.	2. Bouchard E.
23. Samuelsson M. (C)	14. Ekholm M.
89. Tuch A. (A)	18. Hyman Z.
72. Thompson T. (A)	97. McDavid C. (C)
91. Doan J.	22. Savoie M.
Line 2
78. Bryson J.	96. Walman J.
25. Power O.	25. Nurse D. (A)
22. Quinn J.	28. Roslovic J.
71. McLeod R.	29. Draisaitl L. (A)
63. Rosen I.	92. Podkolzin V.
Line 3
21. Timmins C.	75. Regula A.
4. Byram B.	27. Kulak B.
19. Krebs P.	10. Frederic T.
48. Kozak T.	19. Henrique A.
12. Greenway J.	88. Mangiapane A.
Line 4
29. Malenstyn B.	20. Lazar C.
86. Ostlund N.	48. Philp N.
44. Dunne J.	13. Janmark M.
Substitutes
34. Lyon A. (G)	30. Pickard C. (G)
Coaches
. Ruff L.	. Knoblauch K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:58, Ekholm M. (2 min),
10:50, Doan J. (2 min),
18:36, McDavid C. (2 min),
19:03, 1 - 0, Ostlund N. (G), Rosen I. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:29, 1 - 1, Roslovic J. (G), Draisaitl L. (A), Mangiapane A. (A2)
08:41, 2 - 1, Byram B. (G), Kozak T. (A), Krebs P. (A2)
09:43, 3 - 1, Malenstyn B. (G), Dahlin R. (A), Samuelsson M. (A2)
20:00, Krebs P. (5 min),
20:00, Podkolzin V. (5 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
07:55, 4 - 1, Ostlund N. (G), Dunne J. (A),
17:37, 5 - 1, Thompson T. (G),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 2.

Buffalo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Edmonton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Edmonton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Buffalo has had a series of away games.

Edmonton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Buffalo: Kulich J. (Head Injury) Norris J. (Upper-Body Injury) Zucker J. (Illness)

There will not play in Edmonton: Kapanen K. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Buffalo: Benson Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Kesselring M. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 57:61. (average 2.9:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 2.7:2.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Buffalo Sabres - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.86%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Edmonton Oilers - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.42%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
15.11.25	Detroit Red Wings - Buffalo Sabres	4:5 OT ✺
13.11.25	Colorado Avalanche - Buffalo Sabres	6:3 ✺
12.11.25	Utah Mammoth - Buffalo Sabres	5:2 ✺
08.11.25	Carolina Hurricanes - Buffalo Sabres	6:3 ✺
06.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - St. Louis Blues	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL
- Edmonton Oilers
NHL
15.11.25	Carolina Hurricanes - Edmonton Oilers	3:4 OT ✺
13.11.25	Columbus Blue Jackets - Edmonton Oilers	5:4 ✺
12.11.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Edmonton Oilers	1:2 OT ✺
10.11.25	Edmonton Oilers - Columbus Blue Jackets	5:4 OT ✺
08.11.25	Edmonton Oilers - Colorado Avalanche	1:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
10.03.25	Buffalo Sabres - Edmonton Oilers	3:2
25.01.25	Edmonton Oilers - Buffalo Sabres	3:2
21.03.24	Edmonton Oilers - Buffalo Sabres	8:3
09.03.24	Buffalo Sabres - Edmonton Oilers	3:2 OT
06.03.23	Buffalo Sabres - Edmonton Oilers	2:3
18.10.22	Edmonton Oilers - Buffalo Sabres	2:4
17.03.22	Edmonton Oilers - Buffalo Sabres	6:1

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