Match Info

NHL

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Ball Arena (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Colorado Avalanche		Buffalo Sabres

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.5	6	Watch
	1.45	5.59	5.5
	1.46	5.51	5.42
	1.59	4.65	4.66	Watch
	1.53	5.38	5.18
	1.54	4.9	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.69)	5.26 ↑ (4.61)	5.24 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Avalanche
63.7%

Draw
18.1%

Buffalo Sabres
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

21.1%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

20.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Avalanche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colorado Avalanche's performance.

Buffalo Sabres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Colorado Avalanche - Buffalo Sabres Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Buffalo will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colorado: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Colorado (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Buffalo (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Colorado (1.70) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Buffalo (3.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Buffalo (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5, OT - Buffalo (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Colorado (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Buffalo (votes: 7 - 43.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
39. Blackwood M. (G)	1. Luukkonen U. (G)
8. Makar C. (A)	25. Power O.
7. Toews D.	23. Samuelsson M.
88. Necas M.	72. Thompson T. (A)
29. MacKinnon N. (A)	71. McLeod R.
62. Lehkonen A.	89. Tuch A. (A)
Line 2
84. Burns B.	21. Timmins C.
42. Manson J.	4. Byram B.
54. Brindley G.	22. Quinn J.
11. Nelson B.	86. Ostlund N.
20. Colton R.	63. Rosen I.
Line 3
70. Malinski S.	8. Kesselring M.
49. Girard S.	78. Bryson J.
95. Olofsson V.	91. Doan J.
18. Drury J.	48. Kozak T.
92. Landeskog G. (C)	12. Greenway J.
Line 4
16. Makar T.	29. Malenstyn B.
93. Bardakov Z.	19. Krebs P.
17. Kelly P.	44. Dunne J.
Substitutes
41. Wedgewood S. (G)	34. Lyon A. (G)
Coaches
. Bednar J.	. Ruff L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
00:52, 1 - 0, Necas M. (G), Makar C. (A), Toews D. (A2)
06:10, 2 - 0, Lehkonen A. (G), Malinski S. (A), Necas M. (A2)
06:10, Lyon A. ↓, Luukkonen U. ↑,
07:47, 2 - 1, Byram B. (G), Thompson T. (A), Tuch A. (A2)
09:46, 3 - 1, Nelson B. (G), Colton R. (A), Brindley G. (A2)
13:28, 3 - 2, Greenway J. (G), Power O. (A), Doan J. (A2)
19:07, (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:30, Landeskog G. (2 min),
08:45, Power O. (2 min),
13:50, MacKinnon N. (2 min),
14:56, 3 - 3, Thompson T. (G), Rosen I. (A), Krebs P. (A2)
16:22, 4 - 3, Brindley G. (G), Manson J. (A), Burns B. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:01, Kozak T. (2 min),
14:14, Kelly P. (2 min),
16:53, 5 - 3, Necas M. (G), MacKinnon N. (A), Girard S. (A2)
18:11, 6 - 3, Landeskog G. (G), Necas M. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 4.

Colorado is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Buffalo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Colorado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Colorado is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Colorado: Girard S. (Upper-Body Injury) Kiviranta J. (Lower-Body Injury) O'Connor L. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Buffalo: Dahlin R. (Personal Reasons) Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Kulich J. (Head Injury) Norris J. (Upper-Body Injury) Zucker J. (Illness)

There are questionable in Colorado: Nichushkin V. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Buffalo: Benson Z. (Lower-Body Injury)

We predict that Colorado will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 74:52. (average 3.7:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:24. (average 3.7:2.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Colorado Avalanche - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 57.43%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Avalanche
NHL
11.11.25	Colorado Avalanche - Anaheim Ducks	4:1 ✺
09.11.25	Vancouver Canucks - Colorado Avalanche	4:5 OT ✺
08.11.25	Edmonton Oilers - Colorado Avalanche	1:9 ✺
04.11.25	Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	San Jose Sharks - Colorado Avalanche	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL
- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
12.11.25	Utah Mammoth - Buffalo Sabres	5:2 ✺
08.11.25	Carolina Hurricanes - Buffalo Sabres	6:3 ✺
06.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - St. Louis Blues	0:3 ✺
04.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - Utah Mammoth	1:2 OT ✺
01.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - Washington Capitals	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
13.10.25	Buffalo Sabres - Colorado Avalanche	1:3
02.01.25	Colorado Avalanche - Buffalo Sabres	6:5 OT
03.12.24	Buffalo Sabres - Colorado Avalanche	4:5
13.12.23	Colorado Avalanche - Buffalo Sabres	5:1
29.10.23	Buffalo Sabres - Colorado Avalanche	4:0
15.12.22	Colorado Avalanche - Buffalo Sabres	2:4
01.12.22	Buffalo Sabres - Colorado Avalanche	4:6

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