Match Info

NHL

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Delta Center (Salt Lake City, UT)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Utah Mammoth		Buffalo Sabres

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.25	3.75	Watch
	1.76	4.67	3.69
	1.8	4.59	3.6
	2.18	4.37	2.70	Watch
	1.81	4.62	3.61
	2.14	4.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.18)	4.48 ↑ (4.37)	3.34 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utah Mammoth
50%

Draw
21.4%

Buffalo Sabres
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

21.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

21.1%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utah Mammoth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utah Mammoth's performance.

Buffalo Sabres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buffalo Sabres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah Mammoth than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utah Mammoth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buffalo Sabres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	13.3%	33.3%

Utah Mammoth - Buffalo Sabres Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Utah will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Buffalo will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utah: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Utah (votes: 3 - 50%). Buffalo (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Buffalo (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Buffalo (2.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Buffalo (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Utah (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Buffalo (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Vejmelka K. (G)	92. Ellis C. (G)
26. Simashev D.	25. Power O.
98. Sergachyov M. (A)	23. Samuelsson M.
8. Schmaltz N.	72. Thompson T. (A)
92. Cooley L.	71. McLeod R.
9. Keller C. (C)	89. Tuch A. (A)
Line 2
6. Marino J.	21. Timmins C.
88. Schmidt N.	4. Byram B.
11. Guenther D.	22. Quinn J.
27. Hayton B.	86. Ostlund N.
77. Peterka J.	63. Rosen I.
Line 3
57. Desimone N.	8. Kesselring M.
28. Cole I.	78. Bryson J.
53. Carcone M.	91. Doan J.
22. McBain J.	48. Kozak T.
67. Crouse L. (A)	12. Greenway J.
Line 4
56. Yamamoto K.	29. Malenstyn B.
82. Stenlund K.	19. Krebs P.
13. Tanev B.	44. Dunne J.
Substitutes
41. Vanecek V. (G)	1. Luukkonen U. (G)
Coaches
. Tourigny A.	. Ruff L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
05:33, 0 - 1, Rosen I. (G), Quinn J. (A), Byram B. (A2)
09:05, Krebs P. (2 min),
15:26, Crouse L. (2 min),
17:19, Stenlund K. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:42, 0 - 2, Rosen I. (G), Ostlund N. (A),
10:42, 1 - 2, Desimone N. (G), Carcone M. (A), Schmidt N. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 0)
00:52, 2 - 2, Peterka J. (G), Marino J. (A), Sergachyov M. (A2)
03:22, 3 - 2, Crouse L. (G), Peterka J. (A), McBain J. (A2)
10:09, 4 - 2, Schmaltz N. (G), Keller C. (A),
19:34, 5 - 2, Keller C. (G), Schmaltz N. (A), Cooley L. (A2)
19:37, Dunne J. (2 min),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Utah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Utah has had a series of away games.

Utah might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Utah: Durzi S. (Upper-Body Injury) Kerfoot A. (Abdominal strain)

There will not play in Buffalo: Dahlin R. (Personal Reasons) Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Kulich J. (Head Injury) Norris J. (Upper-Body Injury) Zucker J. (Illness)

There are questionable in Buffalo: Benson Z. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Utah won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 4:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Utah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Buffalo Sabres - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 35.01%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utah Mammoth
NHL
09.11.25	Ottawa Senators - Utah Mammoth	4:2 ✺
08.11.25	Montreal Canadiens - Utah Mammoth	6:2 ✺
05.11.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Utah Mammoth	5:3 ✺
04.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - Utah Mammoth	1:2 OT ✺
02.11.25	Utah Mammoth - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
08.11.25	Carolina Hurricanes - Buffalo Sabres	6:3 ✺
06.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - St. Louis Blues	0:3 ✺
04.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - Utah Mammoth	1:2 OT ✺
01.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - Washington Capitals	4:3 penalties ✺
30.10.25	Boston Bruins - Buffalo Sabres	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
04.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - Utah Mammoth	1:2 OT
20.03.25	Utah Mammoth - Buffalo Sabres	5:2
07.12.24	Buffalo Sabres - Utah Mammoth	2:5

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