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Current Win Probability
Edmonton Oilers 36%
Draw 22.4%
Colorado Avalanche 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
22%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
23.6%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Edmonton Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Colorado Avalanche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Edmonton Oilers - Colorado Avalanche Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Edmonton will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Colorado will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
39. Ingram C. (G)
41. Wedgewood S. (G)
2. Bouchard E.
70. Malinski S.
14. Ekholm M.
7. Toews D. (A)
22. Savoie M.
88. Necas M.
97. McDavid C. (C)
29. MacKinnon N. (A)
92. Podkolzin V.
62. Lehkonen A.
Line 2
5. Murphy C.
84. Burns B.
25. Nurse D. (A)
27. Kulak B.
28. Roslovic J.
13. Nichushkin V.
93. Nugent-Hopkins R. (A)
11. Nelson B.
53. Howard I.
92. Landeskog G. (C)
Line 3
49. Emberson T.
37. Blankenburg N.
96. Walman J.
15. Ahcan J.
10. Frederic T.
94. Kiviranta J.
81. Samanski J.
10. Roy N.
34. Dach C.
20. Colton R.
Line 4
42. Kapanen K.
25. O'Connor L.
19. Henrique A.
18. Drury J.
20. Lazar C.
17. Kelly P.
Substitutes
35. Jarry T. (G)
39. Blackwood M. (G)
Coaches
. Knoblauch K.
. Bednar J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
19:20, Henrique A. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:14, (2 min),
09:05, 0 - 1, Malinski S. (G), Roy N. (A),
11:45, Nelson B. (2 min),
15:49, 1 - 1, McDavid C. (G), Savoie M. (A), Bouchard E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
07:16, Nugent-Hopkins R. (2 min),
09:54, Nichushkin V. (2 min),
10:30, Kelly P. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
02:06, Kapanen K. (2 min),
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, McDavid C. (Penalty Shot),
1, Nichushkin V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Nugent-Hopkins R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Necas M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Roslovic J. (Penalty Shot),
3, MacKinnon N. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
Edmonton is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Colorado is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Edmonton: Dickinson J.
(Leg Injury)
Draisaitl L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Hyman Z.
(Injury)
Janmark M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Colorado: Kadri N.
(Finger Injury)
Makar C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Colorado: Manson J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 64:77. (average 3.2:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:39. (average 3.5:3.9).
Outrights of NHL for now
Colorado Avalanche: 9.47% Edmonton Oilers: 7.85%
Last Results with these Odds
Colorado Avalanche - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.6%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.