Match Info

NHL

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: KeyBank Center (Buffalo, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Buffalo Sabres		Ottawa Senators

	1	X	2
	2.6	4	2.35	Watch
	2.57	4.29	2.32
	2.52	4.4	2.37
	2.43	4.18	2.46	Watch
	2.55	4.52	2.4
	2.44	4.3	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.48)	4.28 ↓ (4.47)	2.38 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buffalo Sabres
37.8%

Draw
22.2%

Ottawa Senators
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

21.7%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

21.6%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buffalo Sabres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Buffalo Sabres - Ottawa Senators Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ottawa will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Lyon A. (G)	1. Merilainen L. (G)
26. Dahlin R. (C)	2. Zub A.
4. Byram B.	85. Sanderson J.
89. Tuch A. (A)	20. Zetterlund F.
72. Thompson T. (A)	18. Stutzle T.
6. Benson Z.	22. Amadio M.
Line 2
21. Timmins C.	3. Jensen N.
25. Power O.	72. Chabot T. (A)
91. Doan J.	19. Batherson D.
71. McLeod R.	24. Cozens D.
17. Zucker J.	57. Perron D.
Line 3
33. Johnson R.	10. Spence J.
78. Bryson J.	43. Kleven T.
15. Danforth J.	28. Giroux C. (A)
20. Kulich J.	12. Pinto S.
22. Quinn J.	71. Greig R.
Line 4
29. Malenstyn B.	15. Lycksell O.
19. Krebs P.	89. Eller L.
44. Dunne J.	21. Cousins N.
Substitutes
92. Ellis C. (G)	35. Ullmark L. (G)
Coaches
. Ruff L.	. Green T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
06:36, Zetterlund F. (2 min),
08:01, 1 - 0, Quinn J. (G), Byram B. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
10:09, Johnson R. (2 min),
13:21, Bryson J. (2 min),
16:09, 1 - 1, Stutzle T. (G), Zetterlund F. (A), Spence J. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 1)
02:17, Byram B. (2 min),
03:58, 1 - 2, Sanderson J. (G), Greig R. (A), Cozens D. (A2)
03:58, (2 min),
05:48, Tuch A. (2 min),
06:46, 2 - 2, McLeod R. (G), Benson Z. (A), Power O. (A2)
10:17, 3 - 2, Tuch A. (G), Bryson J. (A), Doan J. (A2)
11:03, Giroux C. (2 min),
11:03, Krebs P. (2 min),
11:03, Timmins C. (2 min),
11:03, Pinto S. (2 min),
11:46, 4 - 2, Zucker J. (G), Dahlin R. (A), Benson Z. (A2)
13:12, Greig R. (2 min),
13:43, 5 - 2, Zucker J. (G), Doan J. (A), Thompson T. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 2)
00:40, 5 - 3, Pinto S. (G), Spence J. (A), Sanderson J. (A2)
02:15, 5 - 4, Eller L. (G), Cousins N. (A), Spence J. (A2)
02:32, 6 - 4, McLeod R. (G), Tuch A. (A), Doan J. (A2)
03:17, 7 - 4, Quinn J. (G), Krebs P. (A),
16:44, 8 - 4, Kulich J. (G), Thompson T. (A), Benson Z. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 5.

Buffalo has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ottawa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Ottawa has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Buffalo: Benson Z. (Face Injury) Greenway J. (Lower-Body Injury) Norris J. (Upper-Body Injury) Samuelsson M. (Injury)

There will not play in Ottawa: Tkachuk B. (Wrist Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 59:62. (average 3:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 3.3:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 39.14%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
13.10.25	Buffalo Sabres - Colorado Avalanche	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Boston Bruins - Buffalo Sabres	3:1 ✺
09.10.25	Buffalo Sabres - New York Rangers	0:4 ✺
03.10.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres	5:4 OT ✺
01.10.25	Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ottawa Senators
NHL
13.10.25	Ottawa Senators - Nashville Predators	1:4 ✺
11.10.25	Florida Panthers - Ottawa Senators	6:2 ✺
09.10.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators	4:5 ✺
04.10.25	Montreal Canadiens - Ottawa Senators	1:3 ✺
02.10.25	St. Louis Blues - Ottawa Senators	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
01.04.25	Ottawa Senators - Buffalo Sabres	2:5
25.03.25	Buffalo Sabres - Ottawa Senators	3:2
09.01.25	Ottawa Senators - Buffalo Sabres	0:4
05.11.24	Buffalo Sabres - Ottawa Senators	5:1
26.09.24	Ottawa Senators - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 OT
27.03.24	Buffalo Sabres - Ottawa Senators	2:6
11.01.24	Buffalo Sabres - Ottawa Senators	5:3

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