The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Florida Panthers 28.1%
Draw 22.1%
Ottawa Senators 49.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
22.2%
43.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
22.5%
42.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Florida Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Florida Panthers's form might have worsened.
Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ottawa Senators's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Panthers than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Florida Panthers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ottawa Senators, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
16.7%
83.3%
Florida Panthers - Ottawa Senators Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ottawa Senators will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
40. Tarasov D. (G)
35. Ullmark L. (G)
5. Ekblad A. (A)
2. Zub A.
42. Forsling G.
43. Kleven T.
19. Tkachuk M. (A)
28. Giroux C. (A)
9. Bennett S.
18. Stutzle T. (A)
23. Verhaeghe C.
19. Batherson D.
Line 2
3. Jones S.
10. Spence J.
6. Sebrango D.
33. Matinpalo N.
10. Greer A.J.
71. Greig R.
27. Luostarinen E.
24. Cozens D.
11. Samoskevich M.
7. Tkachuk B. (C)
Line 3
20. Benning M.
58. Yakemchuk C.
7. Kulikov D.
60. Thomson L.
18. Gregor N.
22. Amadio M.
92. Nosek T.
12. Pinto S.
70. Boqvist J.
21. Cousins N.
Line 4
24. Hinostroza V.
20. Zetterlund F.
71. Kunin L.
89. Eller L.
29. Reinhardt C.
37. Foegele W.
Substitutes
72. Bobrovsky S. (G)
47. Reimer J. (G)
Coaches
. Maurice P.
. Green T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (5 - 0)
00:08, 1 - 0, Gregor N. (G), Jones S. (A), Nosek T. (A2)
00:15, Pinto S. (2 min),
01:06, 2 - 0, Samoskevich M. (G), Jones S. (A), Tkachuk M. (A2)
06:05, Zub A. (2 min),
07:13, Kleven T. (2 min),
09:09, 3 - 0, Verhaeghe C. (G), Tkachuk M. (A), Jones S. (A2)
14:02, 4 - 0, Greer A.J. (G), Luostarinen E. (A), Sebrango D. (A2)
14:36, 5 - 0, Verhaeghe C. (G), Bennett S. (A), Tkachuk M. (A2)
14:36, Ullmark L. ↓, Reimer J. ↑,
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:40, 5 - 1, Batherson D. (G),
06:04, Bennett S. (2 min),
08:55, Kulikov D. (2 min),
12:41, 6 - 1, Tkachuk M. (G), Bennett S. (A), Verhaeghe C. (A2)
15:14, 6 - 2, Spence J. (G), Stutzle T. (A), Amadio M. (A2)
19:55, Hinostroza V. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:29, 6 - 3, Amadio M. (G), Greig R. (A), Thomson L. (A2)
11:26, Gregor N. (5 min),
11:26, Gregor N. (10 min),
15:22, Forsling G. (2 min),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Florida won 3.
Florida has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ottawa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ottawa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Florida: Balinskis U.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Barkov A.
(Knee Injury)
Bennett S.
(Personal Reasons)
Gadjovich J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Lundell A.
(Ribs Injury)
Marchand B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mikkola N.
(Knee Injury)
Reinhart S.
(Foot Injury)
Rodrigues E.
(Finger Injury)
Schwindt C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Ottawa: Chabot T.
(Arm Injury)
Gilbert D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Jensen N.
(Knee Injury)
Sanderson J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Florida won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 77:44. (average 3.9:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Florida won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:19. (average 4.3:2.1).
Outrights of NHL for now
Florida Panthers: 9.47% Ottawa Senators: 2.53%
Last Results with these Odds
Florida Panthers - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.63%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.
Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.17%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Tarasov D. (G) 
Ullmark L. (G) 
Ekblad A. (A) 
Kleven T. 
Stutzle T. (A) 
Matinpalo N. 
Nosek T. 
Eller L. 
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