Match Info

NHL

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: KeyBank Center (Buffalo, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Buffalo Sabres		Seattle Kraken

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.25	3.55	Watch
	1.92	4.3	3.4
	1.9	4.41	3.36
	1.85	4.5	3.45	Watch
	1.75	4	3.4
	1.89	4.52	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.94)	4.33 ↓ (4.47)	3.42 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buffalo Sabres
50.7%

Draw
21.8%

Seattle Kraken
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

21.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

21.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Seattle Kraken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Kraken than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Buffalo Sabres - Seattle Kraken Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Seattle will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Luukkonen U. (G)	31. Grubauer P. (G)
26. Dahlin R.	6. Larsson A.
23. Samuelsson M.	29. Dunn V.
89. Tuch A.	7. Eberle J.
72. Thompson T.	10. Beniers M.
19. Krebs P.	27. Catton B.
Line 2
4. Byram B.	62. Montour B.
25. Power O.	55. Lindgren R.
22. Quinn J.	84. Kakko K.
71. McLeod R.	9. Stephenson C.
17. Zucker J.	74. McMann B.
Line 3
21. Timmins C.	41. Evans R.
64. Stanley L.	24. Oleksiak J.
91. Doan J.	51. Wright S.
9. Norris J.	78. Fisker Molgaard O.
6. Benson Z.	20. Tolvanen E.
Line 4
29. Malenstyn B.	8. Fleury C.
10. Carrick S.	89. Gaudreau F.
70. Pearson T.	59. Meyers B.
Substitutes
34. Lyon A. (G)	35. Daccord J. (G)
Coaches
. Ruff L.	. Lambert L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:34, Larsson A. (2 min),
05:43, Tuch A. (2 min),
09:14, Dahlin R. (2 min),
12:42, 0 - 1, Stephenson C. (G), Kakko K. (A), McMann B. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:29, Stanley L. (5 min),
02:29, Oleksiak J. (5 min),
05:40, Dahlin R. (2 min),
13:18, 0 - 2, McMann B. (G), Kakko K. (A), Stephenson C. (A2)
15:44, Larsson A. (2 min),
15:55, 1 - 2, Dahlin R. (G), Thompson T. (A), Quinn J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:00, Stanley L. (2 min),
11:39, 2 - 2, Krebs P. (G), Benson Z. (A),
13:20, Fisker Molgaard O. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, Thompson T. (Penalty Shot),
1, Gaudreau F. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kakko K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Quinn J. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 2.

In recent matches, Buffalo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Seattle is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Buffalo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Seattle has had a series of away games.

In this match, Buffalo is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:41. (average 3:4.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 2.8:5.5).

Outrights of NHL for now

Buffalo Sabres: 2.48% Seattle Kraken: 0.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Buffalo Sabres - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 50.01%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
27.03.26	Buffalo Sabres - Detroit Red Wings	2:5 ✺
25.03.26	Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins	3:4 OT ✺
22.03.26	Anaheim Ducks - Buffalo Sabres	6:5 OT ✺
21.03.26	Los Angeles Kings - Buffalo Sabres	1:4 ✺
19.03.26	San Jose Sharks - Buffalo Sabres	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWW
- Seattle Kraken
NHL
26.03.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Seattle Kraken	3:4 OT ✺
24.03.26	Florida Panthers - Seattle Kraken	5:4 penalties ✺
21.03.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Seattle Kraken	5:2 ✺
19.03.26	Nashville Predators - Seattle Kraken	3:1 ✺
17.03.26	Seattle Kraken - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
14.12.25	Seattle Kraken - Buffalo Sabres	1:3
20.01.25	Seattle Kraken - Buffalo Sabres	6:4
11.01.25	Buffalo Sabres - Seattle Kraken	2:6
18.03.24	Seattle Kraken - Buffalo Sabres	2:6
09.01.24	Buffalo Sabres - Seattle Kraken	2:5
10.01.23	Buffalo Sabres - Seattle Kraken	3:4
25.10.22	Seattle Kraken - Buffalo Sabres	5:1

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