Match Info

NHL

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Climate Pledge Arena (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Seattle Kraken		Tampa Bay Lightning

	1	X	2
	3.55	4.25	1.83	Watch
	3.4	4.05	1.95
	3.36	4.39	1.9
	3.34	4.4	1.9	Watch
	3.25	4	1.8
	3.37	4.42	1.91
	2.9	3.9	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.18)	4.2 ↓ (4.37)	1.89 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Kraken
28.2%

Draw
22.2%

Tampa Bay Lightning
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

21.6%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

21.5%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Kraken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Kraken than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Seattle Kraken - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Grubauer P. (G)	88. Vasilevski A. (G)
6. Larsson A. (A)	90. Moser J.J.
29. Dunn V.	43. Raddysh D.
7. Eberle J. (C)	86. Kucherov N. (A)
10. Beniers M. (A)	71. Cirelli A.
74. McMann B.	38. Hagel B.
Line 2
62. Montour B.	81. Cernak E.
55. Lindgren R.	77. Hedman V. (C)
20. Tolvanen E.	59. Guentzel J.
9. Stephenson C.	21. Point B.
19. McCann J.	93. Goncalves G.
Line 3
41. Evans R.	51. D'Astous C.
24. Oleksiak J.	27. McDonagh R. (A)
84. Kakko K.	29. Holmberg P.
51. Wright S.	37. Gourde Y.
27. Catton B.	28. Girgensons Z.
Line 4
26. Winterton R.	22. Bjorkstrand O.
89. Gaudreau F.	20. Paul N.
59. Meyers B.	10. Perry C.
Substitutes
35. Daccord J. (G)	31. Johansson J. (G)
Coaches
. Lambert L.	. Cooper J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
05:45, 0 - 1, Goncalves G. (G), Point B. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
12:42, Wright S. (2 min),
14:35, Evans R. (2 min),
16:35, Perry C. (2 min),
18:49, 0 - 2, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:57, 0 - 3, Kucherov N. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
01:07, 1 - 3, McMann B. (G), Beniers M. (A),
07:42, Raddysh D. (2 min),
09:46, 2 - 3, McCann J. (G), Eberle J. (A), Grubauer P. (A2)
10:28, D'Astous C. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
00:41, Meyers B. (5 min),
00:41, Gourde Y. (5 min),
04:35, 2 - 4, Cirelli A. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
15:06, McMann B. (2 min),
16:54, 2 - 5, Hagel B. (G), Goncalves G. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
17:16, 2 - 6, Kucherov N. (G), Cirelli A. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Seattle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Seattle has had a series of home games.

Tampa Bay might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Seattle: Schwartz J. (Face Injury)

There will not play in Tampa Bay: Carlile D. (Lower-Body Injury) Crozier M. (Muscle Injury) James D. (Leg Injury) Lilleberg E. (Face Injury)

There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Girgensons Z. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:33. (average 1.6:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 1.5:4.3).

Outrights of NHL for now

Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% Seattle Kraken: 0.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.69%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Kraken
NHL
15.03.26	Seattle Kraken - Florida Panthers	6:2 ✺
14.03.26	Vancouver Canucks - Seattle Kraken	2:5 ✺
12.03.26	Seattle Kraken - Colorado Avalanche	1:5 ✺
10.03.26	Seattle Kraken - Nashville Predators	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	Seattle Kraken - Ottawa Senators	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLL
- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
14.03.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Carolina Hurricanes	2:4 ✺
12.03.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings	4:1 ✺
10.03.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Columbus Blue Jackets	2:5 ✺
08.03.26	Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning	8:7 ✺
07.03.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
23.02.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Seattle Kraken	4:1
14.12.24	Seattle Kraken - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:5
09.12.23	Seattle Kraken - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:4 OT
30.10.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Seattle Kraken	3:4 OT
16.01.23	Seattle Kraken - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:4
13.12.22	Tampa Bay Lightning - Seattle Kraken	6:2
16.03.22	Seattle Kraken - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:4

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