Buffalo Sabres - Vegas Golden Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • NHL
  • Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday
  • Location: KeyBank Center (Buffalo, NY)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay
    germanyGermanyNHL.tv
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    worldWorldNHL.tv
    Buffalo Sabres Vegas Golden Knights
    Buffalo Sabres Vegas Golden Knights
    1 X 2
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    betsson 2.18 4.05 2.85
    Bet_in_Asia 2.16 4.22 2.85
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    Williamhill 2.05 3.9 2.8
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.41)
    4.16
    (4.24)
    2.87
    (2.55)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

    • The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Buffalo Sabres
    44.4%
    Draw
    22.7%
    Vegas Golden Knights
    32.9%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    39.8% 22.6% 37.6%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    39.4% 22.8% 38%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vegas Golden Knights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    64.7% 11.8% 23.5%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Vegas will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 42%87.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • H/A, 2nd Period - Buffalo (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Buffalo Sabres will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Vegas (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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    Lineups

    Line 1
    34. USALyon A. (G)
    40. SwitzerlandSchmid A. (G)
    26. SwedenDahlin R.
    27. CanadaTheodore S.
    23. USASamuelsson M.
      5. CanadaLauzon J.
    89. USATuch A.
    42. CanadaBowman B.
    72. USAThompson T.
      9. USAEichel J.
    19. CanadaKrebs P.
    49. RussiaBarbashev I.
    Line 2
    25. CanadaPower O.
      4. SwedenAndersson R.
      4. CanadaByram B.
    15. USAHanifin N.
    22. CanadaQuinn J.
    16. RussiaDorofeyev P.
    71. CanadaMcLeod R.
    93. CanadaMarner M.
    17. USAZucker J.
    19. CanadaSmith R.
    Line 3
      8. USAKesselring M.
      6. CanadaKorczak K.
    73. USAMetsa Z.
      3. USAMcNabb B.
    91. USADoan J.
    55. CanadaKolesar K.
      9. USANorris J.
    48. CzechHertl T.
    86. SwedenOstlund N.
    20. USASaad B.
    Line 4
    29. CanadaMalenstyn B.
    26. SwedenHoltz A.
    48. CanadaKozak T.
    10. CanadaSissons C.
      6. CanadaBenson Z.
    23. CanadaReinhardt C.
    Substitutes
      1. FinlandLuukkonen U. (G)
    33. CanadaHill A. (G)
    Coaches
      . CanadaRuff L.
      . CanadaCassidy B.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Period (1 - 0)
    • 04:02, 1 - 0, Zucker J. (G), McLeod R. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
    • 07:39, Tuch A. (2 min),
    • 2nd Period (2 - 2)
    • 00:46, 2 - 0, Power O. (G), Ostlund N. (A),
    • 05:44, 3 - 0, Thompson T. (G), Tuch A. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
    • 06:50, 3 - 1, Barbashev I. (G), Theodore S. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
    • 08:27, 3 - 2, Dorofeyev P. (G), Smith R. (A),
    • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
    • 12:50, Andersson R. (2 min),

    Preview

  • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 4.
  • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
  • Recently, Buffalo has had a series of away games.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Greenway J. (Abdominal strain) Kulich J. (Health problems) Timmins C. (Broken Leg)
  • There will not play in Vegas: Hart C. (Lower-Body Injury) Howden B. (Lower-Body Injury) Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury) Rondbjerg J. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Vegas: Stone M. (Upper-Body Injury)
  • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 45:44. (average 3.2:3.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 3.9:2.7).
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    Last Results with these Odds

    Buffalo Sabres - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 39.82%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Buffalo Sabres
    NHL
    28.02.26 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 2:6
    27.02.26 Florida Panthers - Buffalo Sabres 2:3
    25.02.26 New Jersey Devils - Buffalo Sabres 1:2
    05.02.26 Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins 2:5
    03.02.26 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 4:3 OT
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4
    WWWLL
    - Vegas Golden Knights
    NHL
    01.03.26 Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights 5:0
    27.02.26 Washington Capitals - Vegas Golden Knights 3:2
    25.02.26 Los Angeles Kings - Vegas Golden Knights 4:6
    05.02.26 Vegas Golden Knights - Los Angeles Kings 4:1
    04.02.26 Vegas Golden Knights - Vancouver Canucks 5:2
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3
    LLWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    NHL
    15.03.25 Buffalo Sabres - Vegas Golden Knights 4:3 penalties
    04.01.25 Vegas Golden Knights - Buffalo Sabres 3:1
    02.03.24 Buffalo Sabres - Vegas Golden Knights 7:2
    15.12.23 Vegas Golden Knights - Buffalo Sabres 2:5
    19.12.22 Vegas Golden Knights - Buffalo Sabres 2:3
    10.11.22 Buffalo Sabres - Vegas Golden Knights 4:7
    10.03.22 Buffalo Sabres - Vegas Golden Knights 3:1