The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Lightning 56.9%
Draw 20.4%
Buffalo Sabres 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
21.2%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
21.8%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.
Buffalo Sabres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buffalo Sabres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buffalo Sabres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Buffalo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2
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Lineups
Line 1
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
1. Luukkonen U. (G)
43. Raddysh D.
26. Dahlin R. (C)
90. Moser J.J.
23. Samuelsson M.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
89. Tuch A. (A)
21. Point B.
72. Thompson T. (A)
93. Goncalves G.
19. Krebs P.
Line 2
77. Hedman V.
25. Power O.
51. D'Astous C.
4. Byram B.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
22. Quinn J.
59. Guentzel J.
71. McLeod R.
38. Hagel B.
17. Zucker J.
Line 3
81. Cernak E.
8. Kesselring M.
27. McDonagh R. (A)
73. Metsa Z.
29. Holmberg P.
91. Doan J.
37. Gourde Y.
9. Norris J.
28. Girgensons Z.
86. Ostlund N.
Line 4
67. Carlile D.
29. Malenstyn B.
17. James D.
48. Kozak T.
46. Sabourin S.
44. Dunne J.
Substitutes
31. Johansson J. (G)
34. Lyon A. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.
. Ruff L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 4)
05:25, 0 - 1, Dahlin R. (G), Power O. (A),
06:15, 0 - 2, Norris J. (G), Doan J. (A), Metsa Z. (A2)
08:18, 0 - 3, Norris J. (G), Byram B. (A), Benson Z. (A2)
10:44, Benson Z. (2 min),
15:06, 0 - 4, Thompson T. (G), Krebs P. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:54, 0 - 5, Metsa Z. (G),
01:54, Vasilevski A. ↓, Johansson J. ↑,
05:47, Point B. (2 min),
05:47, Dahlin R. (2 min),
10:26, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
12:10, Guentzel J. (2 min),
16:03, 1 - 5, James D. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Hedman V. (A2)
16:03, Samuelsson M. (2 min),
16:03, Hedman V. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:28, D'Astous C. (2 min),
01:28, Tuch A. (2 min),
01:28, Kesselring M. (2 min),
02:02, Guentzel J. (2 min),
02:02, Guentzel J. (10 min),
03:43, 1 - 6, Tuch A. (G), Dahlin R. (A), Quinn J. (A2)
05:27, 2 - 6, Hedman V. (G), Raddysh D. (A),
06:23, Raddysh D. (2 min),
12:48, Cirelli A. (2 min),
17:12, Kesselring M. (2 min),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
Tampa Bay is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Buffalo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Buffalo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
Recently, Buffalo has had a series of away games.
In this match, Tampa Bay is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cirelli A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Crozier M.
(Muscle Injury)
Paul N.
(Injury)
There will not play in Buffalo: Greenway J.
(Abdominal strain)
Kulich J.
(Health problems)
Timmins C.
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Buffalo: Benson Z.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Danforth J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 80:63. (average 4:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 48:34. (average 4.4:3.1).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% Buffalo Sabres: 2.45%
Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.79%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Buffalo Sabres - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 28.03%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Vasilevski A. (G) 
Luukkonen U. (G) 
Raddysh D. 
Dahlin R. (C) 
Moser J.J. 
Samuelsson M. 
Bjorkstrand O. 
Cernak E. 
Girgensons Z. 
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