Match Info

NHL

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Action, Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovakia	Dajto, Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	DAZN, Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NHL Network
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Washington Capitals		Vegas Golden Knights

	1	X	2
	2.4	4	2.55	Watch
	2.42	4.05	2.55
	2.4	4.2	2.56
	2.39	4.17	2.53	Watch
	2.3	3.9	2.45
	2.4	4.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.79)	4.09 ↓ (4.18)	2.53 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Washington Capitals
39.6%

Draw
23.1%

Vegas Golden Knights
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

22.6%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

22.7%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Washington Capitals's performance.

Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vegas Golden Knights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Washington Capitals that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vegas Golden Knights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Washington Capitals - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vegas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Period - Washington (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 3rd Period - Washington (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Vegas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)	40. Schmid A. (G)
38. Sandin R.	27. Theodore S.
6. Chychrun J.	5. Lauzon J.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)	61. Stone M.
17. Strome D. (A)	9. Eichel J.
21. Protas A.	49. Barbashev I. (A)
Line 2
3. Roy M.	4. Andersson R.
42. Fehervary M.	15. Hanifin N.
43. Wilson T.	19. Smith R.
80. Dubois P.	93. Marner M.
24. McMichael C.	16. Dorofeyev P.
Line 3
57. Van Riemsdyk T.	6. Korczak K.
47. Chisholm D.	3. McNabb B. (A)
9. Leonard R.	55. Kolesar K.
34. Sourdif J.	48. Hertl T. (A)
72. Beauvillier A.	42. Bowman B.
Line 4
53. Frank E.	26. Holtz A.
26. Dowd N. (A)	10. Sissons C.
22. Duhaime B.	20. Saad B.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)	33. Hill A. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.	. Cassidy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
12:47, (2 min),
15:34, Roy M. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
00:49, 1 - 0, Dubois P. (G), Protas A. (A), Sandin R. (A2)
03:23, 2 - 0, Dubois P. (G), Protas A. (A),
04:41, Bowman B. (2 min),
05:58, Hanifin N. (2 min),
14:54, 3 - 0, Chychrun J. (G), Sandin R. (A), Dubois P. (A2)
16:44, Leonard R. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
02:27, 3 - 1, Bowman B. (G), Korczak K. (A), McNabb B. (A2)
05:26, Korczak K. (2 min),
08:15, (2 min),
09:15, 3 - 2, Hertl T. (G), Dorofeyev P. (A), Marner M. (A2)
15:36, Stone M. (2 min),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.

Washington is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vegas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Washington has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Washington: Carlson J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Vegas: Hart C. (Lower-Body Injury) Howden B. (Lower-Body Injury) Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Vegas: Marner M. (Inactive) Rondbjerg J. (Injury) Stone M. (Inactive) Theodore S. (Inactive)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Washington won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 58:55. (average 3.1:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 3.4:1.9).

Outrights of NHL for now

Vegas Golden Knights: 7.11% Washington Capitals: 5.74%

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Capitals - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.86%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Capitals
NHL
25.02.26	Washington Capitals - Philadelphia Flyers	3:1 ✺
05.02.26	Washington Capitals - Nashville Predators	4:2 ✺
03.02.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Washington Capitals	4:2 ✺
02.02.26	Washington Capitals - New York Islanders	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Washington Capitals - Carolina Hurricanes	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLWW
- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
25.02.26	Los Angeles Kings - Vegas Golden Knights	4:6 ✺
05.02.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Los Angeles Kings	4:1 ✺
04.02.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Vancouver Canucks	5:2 ✺
01.02.26	Anaheim Ducks - Vegas Golden Knights	4:3 ✺
31.01.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Seattle Kraken	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
17.11.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Washington Capitals	2:5
15.10.24	Washington Capitals - Vegas Golden Knights	4:2
02.12.23	Vegas Golden Knights - Washington Capitals	4:1
14.11.23	Washington Capitals - Vegas Golden Knights	3:0
21.01.23	Vegas Golden Knights - Washington Capitals	6:2
01.11.22	Washington Capitals - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3 OT
20.04.22	Vegas Golden Knights - Washington Capitals	4:3 OT

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