Match Info

NHL

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Chile	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Germany	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN, ITV 4, ITV X
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	HBO Max, TNT, truTV
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Pittsburgh Penguins		Vegas Golden Knights

	1	X	2
	3	4.2	2.05	Watch
	2.95	4.3	2.08
	2.96	4.26	2.12
	3.01	4.31	2.05	Watch
	2.88	4	2
	3.01	4.32	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.79)	4.23 ↑ (4.18)	2.07 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Penguins
31.9%

Draw
22.4%

Vegas Golden Knights
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

22.6%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

24.6%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pittsburgh Penguins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vegas Golden Knights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Vegas will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vegas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Pittsburgh (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vegas (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Silovs A. (G)	33. Hill A. (G)
65. Karlsson E.	27. Theodore S.
28. Wotherspoon P.	5. Lauzon J.
71. Malkin E. (A)	61. Stone M. (C)
18. Novak T.	9. Eichel J. (A)
59. Chinakhov Y.	49. Barbashev I.
Line 2
58. Letang K. (A)	4. Andersson R.
49. Girard S.	15. Hanifin N.
17. Rust B. (A)	19. Smith R.
67. Rakell R.	93. Marner M.
85. Hayes A.	16. Dorofeyev P.
Line 3
75. Clifton C.	6. Korczak K.
5. Shea R.	3. McNabb B. (A)
16. Brazeau J.	55. Kolesar K.
81. Kindel B.	48. Hertl T.
39. Mantha A.	42. Bowman B.
Line 4
55. Acciari N.	23. Reinhardt C.
46. Lizotte B.	10. Sissons C.
19. Dewar C.	20. Saad B.
Substitutes
74. Skinner S. (G)	40. Schmid A. (G)
Coaches
. Muse D.	. Cassidy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
14:56, 1 - 0, Kindel B. (G), Mantha A. (A),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
03:41, Marner M. (2 min),
05:47, 2 - 0, Chinakhov Y. (G), Novak T. (A), Brazeau J. (A2)
09:02, Reinhardt C. (2 min),
09:02, Reinhardt C. (5 min),
09:02, Hayes A. (5 min),
09:34, 3 - 0, Rust B. (G), Karlsson E. (A), Malkin E. (A2)
11:32, Letang K. (2 min),
14:10, (2 min),
15:06, 4 - 0, Rakell R. (G), Karlsson E. (A), Rust B. (A2)
15:42, Lizotte B. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:17, Smith R. (2 min),
14:59, 5 - 0, Brazeau J. (G), Kindel B. (A), Letang K. (A2)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vegas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:43. (average 2.9:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:16. (average 3.4:2.3).

Outrights of NHL for now

Vegas Golden Knights: 7.11% Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.18%

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.86%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.

Vegas Golden Knights - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.54%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
28.02.26	New York Rangers - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:2 penalties ✺
26.02.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - New Jersey Devils	4:1 ✺
05.02.26	Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:5 ✺
03.02.26	New York Islanders - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:4 OT ✺
02.02.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Ottawa Senators	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLL
- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
27.02.26	Washington Capitals - Vegas Golden Knights	3:2 ✺
25.02.26	Los Angeles Kings - Vegas Golden Knights	4:6 ✺
05.02.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Los Angeles Kings	4:1 ✺
04.02.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Vancouver Canucks	5:2 ✺
01.02.26	Anaheim Ducks - Vegas Golden Knights	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
11.03.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights	3:2 OT
07.03.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:0
20.01.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:2
19.11.23	Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights	3:0
05.01.23	Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:2
01.12.22	Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights	4:3
11.03.22	Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights	5:2

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