Match Info

VHL

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Khokkeynyy Gorod (Saint Petersburg)


	SKA-VMF		Chelny

	1	X	2
	1.85	4.15	3.51	Watch
	1.74	4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.75)	4.08 ↓ (4.15)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA-VMF
51.2%

Draw
22.6%

Chelny
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

21.9%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

24.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Chelny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA-VMF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

SKA VMF - Chelny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Saranchuk G. (G)	60. Sartakov V. (G)
27. Sapunov V.	5. Davydov D.
14. Shekhovtsov Y. (A)	72. Kolmagorov K. (C)
59. Nikolayev A.	59. Anufriev I.
24. Sharov A. (C)	68. Silayev I. (A)
97. Nugmanov A.	29. Manukyan A.
Line 2
5. Yarullin A.	62. Naumov G.
12. Remezovsky I.	50. Motygullin B. (A)
89. Surayev N.	9. Nasyrov M.
6. Marchenko T.	18. Guskov I.
83. Shamshurin S.	97. Smirnov N.
Line 3
63. Anisimov S.	19. Zakharov N.
80. Gryaznov G. (A)	12. Marin M.
16. Demidov S.	10. Ustimkin M.
88. Lazutin D.	94. Sherstobitov D.
23. Osipov G.	11. Luchenkov S.
Line 4
21. Kalinin N.	86. Minnekhanov T.
96. Kabat M.	25. Rakhcheev I.
40. Proskurnin A.	69. Redkov A.
10. Ignatov I.	22. Minnekhanov B.
Substitutes
74. Podlyagin N. (G)	80. Gorokhov N. (G)
30. Zavragin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
09:17, 1 - 0, Sharov A. (G), Nikolayev A. (A), Gryaznov G. (A2)
13:48, 2 - 0, Demidov S. (G), Lazutin D. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
05:51, 2 - 1, Luchenkov S. (G), Sherstobitov D. (A),
11:44, 2 - 2, Silayev I. (G), Anufriev I. (A),
18:46, 2 - 3, Silayev I. (G), Anufriev I. (A), Zakharov N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:50, 2 - 4, Motygullin B. (G),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

SKA-VMF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chelny has had a series of home games.

SKA-VMF could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 3.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 4:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14

Last Results with these Odds

Chelny - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26.02%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
09.01.26	SKA-VMF - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	SKA-VMF - CSK VVS Samara	2:5 ✺
05.01.26	SKA-VMF - Bars Kazan	0:2 ✺
22.12.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - SKA-VMF	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Dynamo-Altay - SKA-VMF	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLWW
- HC Chelny
VHL
25.12.25	Chelny - Dynamo-Altay	2:3 ✺
23.12.25	Chelny - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:5 ✺
21.12.25	Chelny - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:3 OT ✺
19.12.25	Chelny - Norilsk	4:2 ✺
14.12.25	Buran Voronezh - Chelny	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
13.11.25	Chelny - SKA-VMF	1:4
01.03.25	Chelny - SKA-VMF	1:2
23.09.24	SKA-VMF - Chelny	4:3
01.12.23	Chelny - SKA-VMF	2:3
21.11.23	SKA-VMF - Chelny	4:0

SKA-VMF - Chelny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide