Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Vysotsky Sports Palace (Samara)


	CSK VVS Samara		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	1.69	4.3	4.16
	1.71	4.2	4.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.89)	4.25 ↑ (3.85)	4.14 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSK VVS Samara
55.2%

Draw
22.1%

Zauralie Kurgan
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

24.3%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

24.6%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSK VVS Samara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CSK VVS Samara's performance.

Zauralie Kurgan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSK VVS Samara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

CSK VVS Samara - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. CSK VVS (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
71. Popov D. (G)	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
61. Vafin K.	57. Ryzhikov S.
89. Karpov A.	3. Shikun A.
13. Demchenko V.	82. Shiryayev I.
19. Galimov A.	34. Tagirov K.
94. Anop D. (A)	47. Grymzin S. (A)
Line 2
18. Safonov I. (A)	67. Vasilyev K.
17. Kalabushkin E.	16. Avvakumov I.
68. Gogolev P.	8. Galiaskarov E.
32. Barabanov V.	78. Komaristy A. (C)
52. Grishakov A.	74. Govorkov M.
Line 3
47. Morozov Y.	48. Denisevich B.
96. Ganabin Y.	61. Kozhemyakin G.
25. Petrov G.	99. Kolesnikov S.
11. Mustafin R.	93. Kozlov I. (A)
75. Dyadenkin D.	7. Baldayev D.
Line 4
7. Teterin O.	19. Vasilyev I. M.
23. Chervonenko V.	97. Bogdanov A.
63. Groshev Y. (C)	10. Sokolov A.
33. Aliyev R.	87. Nizovtsev S.
Substitutes
88. Ustimenko K. (G)	30. Yeryomin I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
01:45, 0 - 1, Baldayev D. (G), Kozlov I. (A), Bogdanov A. (A2)
07:22, 0 - 2, Kozhemyakin G. (G), Sokolov A. (A), Tagirov K. (A2)
10:48, 0 - 3, Govorkov M. (G), Vasilyev K. (A), Komaristy A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
11:12, 1 - 3, Barabanov V. (G), Morozov Y. (A), Grishakov A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
10:13, 2 - 3, Vafin K. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSK VVS won 2.

In recent matches, CSK VVS has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zauralie is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

CSK VVS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

CSK VVS might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, CSK VVS won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:46. (average 2.4:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, CSK VVS won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 2.6:3.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
25	CSK VVS	15	3	1	1	10	31:51	9
28	Kurgan	10	0	2	4	4	15:27	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSK VVS Samara
VHL
07.03.26	CSK VVS Samara - Bars Kazan	4:2 ✺
03.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - CSK VVS Samara	5:0 ✺
01.03.26	Khimik - CSK VVS Samara	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Torpedo-Gorky - CSK VVS Samara	2:1 OT ✺
21.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLW
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
07.03.26	Omskie Krylia - Zauralie Kurgan	6:0 ✺
01.03.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Zauralie Kurgan - SKA-VMF	1:2 ✺
23.02.26	Norilsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
04.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - CSK VVS Samara	3:2 OT
20.01.25	CSK VVS Samara - Zauralie Kurgan	4:1
01.11.24	Zauralie Kurgan - CSK VVS Samara	2:3
26.11.23	CSK VVS Samara - Zauralie Kurgan	4:5 penalties
16.11.23	Zauralie Kurgan - CSK VVS Samara	6:1
01.02.22	Zauralie Kurgan - CSK VVS Samara	4:3
23.09.21	CSK VVS Samara - Zauralie Kurgan	1:2

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