The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torpedo-Gorky 45.5%
Draw 24.1%
CSK VVS Samara 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
24%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
31.1%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torpedo-Gorky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
CSK VVS Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo-Gorky, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSK VVS Samara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Torpedo Gorky - CSK VVS Samara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
52. Dagestansky D. (G)
71. Popov D. (G)
33. Bochkov I. (C)
8. Gorbunov K.
59. Nikitin Y.
89. Karpov A.
70. Gazizov R.
13. Demchenko V.
58. Ilyin D. (A)
19. Galimov A.
80. Shavin N.
94. Anop D. (A)
Line 2
28. Dryagilev A.
18. Safonov I. (A)
24. Pelevin A.
17. Kalabushkin E.
67. Savunov D.
68. Gogolev P.
87. Opalev R. (A)
32. Barabanov V.
78. Orlovich-Grudkov D.
25. Petrov G.
Line 3
81. Varlakov A.
96. Ganabin Y.
5. Zharkov I.
47. Morozov Y.
93. Pugachyov G.
63. Groshev Y. (C)
84. Utkin M.
73. Kaletnik V.
66. Misnikov A.
52. Grishakov A.
Line 4
19. Anisimov A.
98. Shumilov V.
97. Mayorov N.
22. Kuznetsov A.
89. Stalnov D.
81. Litvinov I.
15. Avershin D.
75. Dyadenkin D.
Substitutes
10. Odinokov S.
90. Ovcharik D. (G)
1. Zinaddin L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
00:39, 0 - 1, Anop D. (G), Demchenko V. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:20, 1 - 1, Stalnov D. (G), Pugachyov G. (A), Avershin D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:45, 2 - 1, Mayorov N. (G),
Preview
Torpedo-Gorky has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
CSK VVS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
CSK VVS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Torpedo-Gorky has had a series of away games.
Recently, CSK VVS has had a series of home games.
Torpedo-Gorky might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo-Gorky won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:14. (average 3.6:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo-Gorky won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:9. (average 3:4.5).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
25
CSK VVS
14
3
1
1
9
28:46
9
Last Results with these Odds
Torpedo-Gorky - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.63%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.