Match Info

VHL

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk)


	Norilsk		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.52	3.25
	1.79	3.45	3.15
	1.98	4.16	3.10	Watch
	1.91	3.95	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.17)	3.77 ↓ (3.86)	3.18 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
47.9%

Draw
23.8%

Zauralie Kurgan
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

24.3%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

24%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Zauralie Kurgan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Norilsk - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Norilsk will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
77. Guskov Y. (G)	31. Shchetilin A. (G)
4. Shalapov Y. (A)	62. Smyshlyayev P.
11. Steklov K.	33. Bochkov I. (C)
8. Avramenko I.	8. Galiaskarov E. (A)
36. Zlodeyev D.	25. Kondyrev K.
88. Shalagin M. (A)	83. Shamshurin S.
Line 2
74. Perelyayev S.	18. Gorbunov K.
66. Drugalya S.	32. Kalimullin M.
17. Golodnyuk S.	82. Shiryayev I.
10. Lipanov A.	27. Shipin D.
89. Yemets I.	77. Kuzyakin A.
Line 3
43. Sinitsky I.	11. Zakharov N.
5. Krasnov A.	9. Nazarko A.
86. Kirileichenko M.	72. Luchenkov S.
67. Sharifyanov T.	97. Bogdanov A. (A)
56. Mokin N. (C)	19. Klimov D.
Line 4
22. Rodionov A.	78. Chufarov A.
69. Filin F.	10. Sokolov A.
87. Gorbunov Y.	87. Nizovtsev S.
23. Klimovich Y.
Substitutes
98. Gluschenko R. (G)	21. Nikishin M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:48, 1 - 0, Gorbunov Y. (G), Perelyayev S. (A), Klimovich Y. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:00, 1 - 1, Luchenkov S. (G), Kondyrev K. (A), Kuzyakin A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:46, 1 - 2, Kondyrev K. (G), Bochkov I. (A), Luchenkov S. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 1.

Norilsk has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Zauralie is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Norilsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

Norilsk is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Norilsk has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:12 (averaging 1.8:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Norilsk against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 2:7 goals (averaging 0.7:2.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	HC Norilsk	14	7	1	2	4	32:32	18
28	Kurgan	10	0	2	4	4	15:27	8

Last Results with these Odds

Norilsk - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.18%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.54%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Norilsk
VHL
16.09.26	Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen	4:1 ✺
14.09.26	Norilsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:2 penalties ✺
07.09.26	Norilsk - Dynamo-Altay	2:4 ✺
05.09.26	Norilsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:3 ✺
03.09.26	Norilsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLW
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
12.09.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Kaluga	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Zauralie Kurgan - AKM	2:3 ✺
08.09.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Ryazan	3:4 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
04.09.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Omskie Krylia	1:3 ✺
27.08.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
23.02.26	Norilsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:2
23.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Norilsk	0:1
15.02.25	Norilsk - Zauralie Kurgan	0:2
05.10.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Norilsk	3:2
12.12.23	Norilsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:3
28.10.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Norilsk	2:6

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