The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zvezda Moscow 35%
Draw 24%
CSK VVS Samara 41%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.6%
23.8%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
23.9%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zvezda Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zvezda Moscow's form might have worsened.
CSK VVS Samara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CSK VVS Samara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zvezda Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSK VVS Samara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Zvezda Moscow - CSK VVS Samara Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Zvezda Moscow will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). CSK VVS will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
45. Gluschenko R. (G)
71. Popov D. (G)
80. Barabosha A.
98. Shumilov V.
48. Barantsev D. (A)
89. Karpov A.
87. Yapparov Y.
13. Demchenko V.
98. Pankratov S. (A)
19. Galimov A.
77. Solovyov Y.
94. Anop D. (A)
Line 2
3. Sidorov M.
18. Safonov I. (A)
8. Bobryashov N.
17. Kalabushkin E.
62. Shalyshkin N.
68. Gogolev P.
19. Prokhorov A. (C)
32. Barabanov V.
23. Khulapov D.
25. Petrov G.
Line 3
76. Shuravin M.
96. Ganabin Y.
6. Gordeyev M.
47. Morozov Y.
56. Vlasenko D.
22. Kuznetsov A.
25. Lazutin D.
63. Groshev Y. (C)
42. Savvateyev V.
75. Dyadenkin D.
Line 4
44. Stanislavskiy D.
61. Vafin K.
70. Yanchenko I.
33. Aliyev R.
75. Averochkin M.
81. Litvinov I.
79. Dronyk V.
52. Grishakov A.
Substitutes
31. Novozhilov I. (G)
88. Ustimenko K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
00:34, 1 - 0, Yapparov Y. (G), Pankratov S. (A), Solovyov Y. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (4 - 0)
02:49, 2 - 0, Yanchenko I. (G), Barantsev D. (A),
05:22, 3 - 0, Solovyov Y. (G), Pankratov S. (A),
10:32, 4 - 0, Savvateyev V. (G), Vlasenko D. (A),
13:20, 5 - 0, Savvateyev V. (G), Lazutin D. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 3.
Zvezda Moscow is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
CSK VVS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Zvezda Moscow may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Zvezda Moscow will win today's game, with odds of 2.6.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 61:26. (average 4.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:11. (average 5:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
23
Zvezda Moscow
17
3
4
1
9
42:53
15
28
CSK VVS
18
3
1
2
12
35:62
10
Last Results with these Odds
Zvezda Moscow - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.57%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
CSK VVS Samara - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.62%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Gluschenko R. (G) 
Demchenko V. 
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