Match Info
NHLDate: 5 March 2026, ThursdayLocation: Scotiabank Saddledome (Calgary, AB)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay, V Sport Live 4 |
 Finland | Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Live 4 |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Live 4 |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
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Calgary Flames |
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Ottawa Senators |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.5 |
4 |
1.91 |
 Watch |
 |
3.25 |
4.05 |
1.98 |
|
 |
3.27 |
4.4 |
1.94 |
|
 |
3.3 |
4.43 |
1.91 |
Watch |
 |
3.1 |
4 |
1.85 |
|
 |
3.35 |
4.26 |
2.01 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↑
(2.92) |
4.19 ↓
(4.21) |
1.93 ↓
(2.22) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Calgary Flames
28.6% | Draw
22.5% | Ottawa Senators
48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calgary Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ottawa Senators's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-3.5%)Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Calgary will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Ottawa will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 52.1% – 90.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5, OT - Ottawa (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ottawa Senators will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 9 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
1.  Cooley D. (G)
| 35.  Ullmark L. (G)
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28.  Whitecloud Z.
| 2.  Zub A.
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7. Bahl K.
| 85. Sanderson J.
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86. Farabee J.
| 28. Giroux C. (A)
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91. Kadri N.
| 18.  Stutzle T.
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47. Zary C.
| 19. Batherson D.
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| Line 2 |
|---|
19. Parekh Z.
| 3. Jensen N.
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37. Kuznetsov Y.
| 72. Chabot T. (A)
|
27. Coronato M.
| 71. Greig R.
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11. Backlund M. (C)
| 24. Cozens D.
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20. Coleman B. (A)
| 7. Tkachuk B. (C)
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| Line 3 |
|---|
94. Pachal B.
| 10. Spence J.
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44. Hanley J.
| 43. Kleven T.
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92. Gridin M.
| 22. Amadio M.
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16. Frost M.
| 12. Pinto S.
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17.  Sharangovich Y.
| 21. Cousins N.
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| Line 4 |
|---|
43.  Klapka A.
| 20. Zetterlund F.
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76.  Pospisil M.
| 89.  Eller L.
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70. Lomberg R.
| 23. MacDermid K.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
32. Wolf D. (G)
| 47. Reimer J. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Huska R.
| . Green T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 08:34, Giroux C. (2 min),
- 17:04, 1 - 0, Pospisil M. (G), Gridin M. (A),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 09:35, 1 - 1, Eller L. (G), Greig R. (A),
- 10:51, Whitecloud Z. (2 min),
- 16:31, Amadio M. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 3)
- 01:46, Coleman B. (2 min),
- 05:52, Klapka A. (2 min),
- 06:33, 1 - 2, Cozens D. (G), Tkachuk B. (A),
- 07:58, Parekh Z. (2 min),
- 16:23, Zub A. (2 min),
- 17:59, 1 - 3, Stutzle T. (G),
- 19:46, 1 - 4, Pinto S. (G), Amadio M. (A), Zub A. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Ottawa has had a series of away games. Ottawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.There will not play in Calgary: Bean J.
(Injury)
Honzek S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Huberdeau J.
(Hip Injury)There will not play in Ottawa: Perron D.
(Groin Injury)There are questionable in Ottawa: Matinpalo N.
(Injury)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 61:64. (average 3.1:3.2).Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 3.9:2.7).
Outrights of NHL for now
Ottawa Senators: 2.53% Calgary Flames: 0.2%
Last Results with these Odds
Calgary Flames - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 33.23%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NHL | | | 30.10.25 | Ottawa Senators - Calgary Flames | 4:3 penalties | | 19.12.24 | Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators | 2:3 OT | | 25.11.24 | Ottawa Senators - Calgary Flames | 4:3 | | 09.01.24 | Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators | 6:3 | | 11.11.23 | Ottawa Senators - Calgary Flames | 4:1 | | 12.03.23 | Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators | 5:1 | | 13.02.23 | Ottawa Senators - Calgary Flames | 4:3 OT |
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