Match Info

NHL

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Rogers Place (Edmonton, AB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay, V Sport Live 5
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Live 5
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Live 5
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Edmonton Oilers		Ottawa Senators

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.25	2.6	Watch
	2.38	4.05	2.55
	2.45	4.19	2.5
	2.39	4.28	2.5	Watch
	2.25	4	2.45
	2.42	4.23	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.07)	4.17 ↓ (4.34)	2.52 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edmonton Oilers
40%

Draw
22.6%

Ottawa Senators
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

22.1%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

21%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edmonton Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Edmonton Oilers's form might have worsened.

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ottawa Senators's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Edmonton will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ottawa will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Edmonton: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 3rd Period - Edmonton (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Edmonton Oilers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Edmonton (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Ottawa (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
39. Ingram C. (G)	35. Ullmark L. (G)
2. Bouchard E.	2. Zub A.
96. Walman J.	85. Sanderson J.
18. Hyman Z.	28. Giroux C. (A)
97. McDavid C. (C)	18. Stutzle T.
93. Nugent-Hopkins R. (A)	19. Batherson D.
Line 2
24. Stastney S.	3. Jensen N.
14. Ekholm M.	72. Chabot T. (A)
42. Kapanen K.	71. Greig R.
29. Draisaitl L. (A)	24. Cozens D.
92. Podkolzin V.	7. Tkachuk B. (C)
Line 3
49. Emberson T.	10. Spence J.
25. Nurse D.	43. Kleven T.
22. Savoie M.	22. Amadio M.
28. Roslovic J.	12. Pinto S.
10. Frederic T.	21. Cousins N.
Line 4
81. Samanski J.	20. Zetterlund F.
19. Henrique A.	89. Eller L.
20. Lazar C.	83. Halliday S.
Substitutes
35. Jarry T. (G)	47. Reimer J. (G)
Coaches
. Knoblauch K.	. Green T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
03:34, 0 - 1, Cozens D. (G), Cousins N. (A), Chabot T. (A2)
05:03, 1 - 1, Draisaitl L. (G), Ekholm M. (A), Savoie M. (A2)
05:39, Bouchard E. (2 min),
06:34, 1 - 2, Batherson D. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)
08:00, Greig R. (5 min),
08:00, Podkolzin V. (2 min),
08:00, Podkolzin V. (5 min),
10:36, Nurse D. (2 min),
16:48, 2 - 2, Draisaitl L. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
04:30, 2 - 3, Batherson D. (G), Stutzle T. (A),
05:11, 2 - 4, Amadio M. (G), Jensen N. (A),
12:17, Kleven T. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:38, Pinto S. (2 min),
01:52, 3 - 4, Nugent-Hopkins R. (G), McDavid C. (A), Bouchard E. (A2)
18:35, 4 - 4, Hyman Z. (G), Draisaitl L. (A), Bouchard E. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:05, Tkachuk B. (2 min),
01:50, 5 - 4, Bouchard E. (G), McDavid C. (A), Draisaitl L. (A2)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 4.

Edmonton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Ottawa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Edmonton: Janmark M. (Injury)

There will not play in Ottawa: Matinpalo N. (Injury) Perron D. (Groin Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 81:53. (average 4.1:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 49:32. (average 4.5:2.9).

Outrights of NHL for now

Edmonton Oilers: 7.85% Ottawa Senators: 2.53%

Last Results with these Odds

Edmonton Oilers - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 46.25%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Ottawa Senators - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 31.7%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edmonton Oilers
NHL
28.02.26	San Jose Sharks - Edmonton Oilers	5:4 ✺
26.02.26	Los Angeles Kings - Edmonton Oilers	1:8 ✺
25.02.26	Anaheim Ducks - Edmonton Oilers	6:5 ✺
04.02.26	Calgary Flames - Edmonton Oilers	4:3 ✺
03.02.26	Edmonton Oilers - Toronto Maple Leafs	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Ottawa Senators
NHL
28.02.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators	2:5 ✺
26.02.26	Ottawa Senators - Detroit Red Wings	1:2 OT ✺
05.02.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Ottawa Senators	1:2 OT ✺
03.02.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Ottawa Senators	4:3 ✺
02.02.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Ottawa Senators	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
21.10.25	Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers	2:3 OT
22.12.24	Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators	3:1
19.11.24	Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers	2:5
24.03.24	Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers	5:3
06.01.24	Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators	3:1
14.03.23	Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators	6:3
11.02.23	Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers	3:6

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