Match Info

NHL

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Live 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Philadelphia Flyers		Ottawa Senators

	1	X	2
	2.8	4.2	2.15	Watch
	2.79	4.03	2.24
	2.76	4.25	2.21
	2.79	4.3	2.17	Watch
	2.75	4.33	2.2
	2.83	4.31	2.24
	2.8	4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.54)	4.2 ↑ (4.19)	2.2 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Flyers
34.1%

Draw
22.6%

Ottawa Senators
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

22.6%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

22.5%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Flyers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	26.7%	46.7%

Philadelphia Flyers - Ottawa Senators Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Ottawa will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 3rd Period - Philadelphia (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5, 1st Period - Ottawa (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Philadelphia Flyers will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 7 - 70%). Ottawa (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
80. Vladar D. (G)	47. Reimer J. (G)
55. Ristolainen R.	2. Zub A.
6. Sanheim T. (A)	85. Sanderson J.
11. Konecny T. (A)	28. Giroux C. (A)
22. Dvorak C.	18. Stutzle T.
29. Grebyonkin N.	19. Batherson D.
Line 2
9. Drysdale J.	3. Jensen N.
8. York C.	72. Chabot T. (A)
74. Tippett O.	71. Greig R.
46. Zegras T.	24. Cozens D.
52. Barkey D.	7. Tkachuk B. (C)
Line 3
47. Juulsen N.	10. Spence J.
24. Seeler N.	43. Kleven T.
10. Brink B.	22. Amadio M.
27. Cates N.	12. Pinto S.
39. Michkov M.	21. Cousins N.
Line 4
91. Grundstrom C.	20. Zetterlund F.
14. Couturier S. (C)	89. Eller L.
19. Hathaway G.	83. Halliday S.
Substitutes
33. Ersson S. (G)	35. Ullmark L. (G)
Coaches
. Tocchet R.	. Green T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
19:19, Batherson D. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:52, Couturier S. (2 min),
09:55, 0 - 1, Cousins N. (G), Pinto S. (A), Amadio M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:46, 1 - 1, Drysdale J. (G), Brink B. (A), Zegras T. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:47, 1 - 2, Stutzle T. (G), Tkachuk B. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 1.

Philadelphia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ottawa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ottawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Philadelphia: Abols R. (Lower-Body Injury) Foerster T. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Ottawa: Perron D. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Philadelphia: Ersson S. (Lower-Body Injury)

We predict that Ottawa will win today's game, with odds of 2.2.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 59:69. (average 3:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 2.8:3.5).

Outrights of NHL for now

Ottawa Senators: 2.53% Philadelphia Flyers: 1.29%

Last Results with these Odds

Philadelphia Flyers - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 37.22%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Flyers
NHL
03.02.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Washington Capitals	4:2 ✺
31.01.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Los Angeles Kings	2:3 OT ✺
29.01.26	Boston Bruins - Philadelphia Flyers	6:3 ✺
28.01.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Philadelphia Flyers	5:3 ✺
26.01.26	Philadelphia Flyers - New York Islanders	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL
- Ottawa Senators
NHL
03.02.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Ottawa Senators	4:3 ✺
02.02.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Ottawa Senators	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Ottawa Senators - New Jersey Devils	4:1 ✺
28.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Colorado Avalanche	5:2 ✺
25.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Vegas Golden Knights	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
08.11.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Ottawa Senators	2:3 OT
23.10.25	Ottawa Senators - Philadelphia Flyers	2:1
13.04.25	Ottawa Senators - Philadelphia Flyers	4:3 OT
11.03.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Ottawa Senators	2:5
14.11.24	Ottawa Senators - Philadelphia Flyers	4:5 OT
02.03.24	Philadelphia Flyers - Ottawa Senators	4:2
21.01.24	Philadelphia Flyers - Ottawa Senators	3:5

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