Match Info

MHL

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Chaika		Stalnye Lisy

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.27	3.68
	1.73	4.15	3.6
	1.74	4.2	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.93)	4.21 ↑ (4.1)	3.64 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaika
52.8%

Draw
21.9%

Stalnye Lisy
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

22.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

23.7%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chaika's performance.

Stalnye Lisy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chaika that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stalnye Lisy than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stalnye Lisy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chaika - Stalnye Lisy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaika (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Chaika (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaika (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Suchkov D. (G)	40. Gayanov I. (G)
65. Chesnokov I. (C)	59. Kuznetsov A.
19. Anisimov A.	77. Mashenin A.
72. Fogelnest M.	13. Gushchin M. (C)
7. Maximov R.	78. Shumilin I.
9. Skvortsov S. (A)	52. Menshchikov Y.
Line 2
73. Katin M.	28. Makhmutov I.
81. Mullerov I.	12. Makarenko I.
17. Burov Y.	16. Mukhotyanov E. (A)
12. Mishin V.	73. Melekhov Y.
10. Shcherbakov K.	19. Giniyatullin R.
Line 3
23. Guryev S.	4. Shorokhov S.
76. Belyakov K.	22. Chernev T.
93. Pugachyov G. (A)	8. Shulekin M.
15. Matyuk A.	29. Zhulin Y.
71. Laptev V.	9. Yashnikov M.
Line 4
33. Agafonov M.	21. Roshchin S.
24. Lezov A.	42. Miroshin R.
8. Kozin V.	55. Afonin M.
29. Zhurun Y.	91. Maier V.
97. Kulyabin A.	69. Malashkin M. (A)
Substitutes
1. Morilov I. (G)	31. Rutsky M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
02:49, 1 - 0, Chesnokov I. (G), Matyuk A. (A), Skvortsov S. (A2)
09:26, 2 - 0, Fogelnest M. (G), Chesnokov I. (A), Skvortsov S. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:55, 3 - 0, Fogelnest M. (G), Maximov R. (A), Skvortsov S. (A2)
06:36, 3 - 1, Shulekin M. (G), Mashenin A. (A), Yashnikov M. (A2)
06:55, 4 - 1, Mullerov I. (G), Burov Y. (A), Shcherbakov K. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
10:58, 5 - 1, Belyakov K. (G), Kulyabin A. (A), Kozin V. (A2)
18:16, 6 - 1, Laptev V. (G), Maximov R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 1.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Stalnye Lisy could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Chaika carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chaika has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:48 (averaging 2.4:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chaika against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 21:27 goals (averaging 2.1:2.7 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Stalnye Lisy - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 29.95%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chaika Nizhny Novgorod
MHL
29.09.26	Chaika - Stalnye Lisy	2:1 OT ✺
26.09.26	Chaika - Tolpar	5:0 ✺
25.09.26	Chaika - Tolpar	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Molot Perm - Chaika	0:4 ✺
17.09.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Chaika	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW
- Stalnye Lisy
MHL
29.09.26	Chaika - Stalnye Lisy	2:1 OT ✺
24.09.26	Stalnye Lisy - Belye Medvedi	3:2 ✺
21.09.26	Stalnye Lisy - Kuznetskie Medvedi	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Omskye Yastreby - Stalnye Lisy	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Omskye Yastreby - Stalnye Lisy	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
29.09.26	Chaika - Stalnye Lisy	2:1 OT
11.01.26	Chaika - Stalnye Lisy	1:7
10.01.26	Chaika - Stalnye Lisy	2:5
07.09.25	Stalnye Lisy - Chaika	6:3
05.09.25	Stalnye Lisy - Chaika	3:1
18.02.25	Chaika - Stalnye Lisy	2:1
17.02.25	Chaika - Stalnye Lisy	1:4

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