Match Info

MHL

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday


	Loko-76		Chaika

	1	X	2
	2.49	3.82	2.3	Watch
	2.4	4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.61)	3.91 ↓ (4.4)	2.28 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loko-76
37%

Draw
23.2%

Chaika
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

21.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

23.7%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loko-76 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Chaika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loko-76 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Loko 76 - Chaika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Borichev D. (G)	74. Sabitov M. (G)
76. Manuilov M. (A)	65. Chesnokov I. (C)
32. Stramilov I.	81. Mullerov I.
12. Maslenitsyn M.	8. Kozin V.
17. Beryozkin I. (A)	15. Matyuk A.
96. Polyakov I. (C)	9. Skvortsov S. (A)
Line 2
42. Semenenko D.	73. Anisimov Y.
89. Tumanov A.	28. Gavrilov L.
71. Malkov N.	16. Bessonov A.
82. Sokol L.	12. Mishin V.
66. Kiseyev A.	17. Salnikov L. (A)
Line 3
33. Luzin I.	23. Guryev S.
43. Gashkov T.	76. Belyakov K.
86. Fomin V.	91. Opolinsky M.
21. Klochko A.	5. Gornov S.
10. Kochetkov A.	77. Stafeyev G.
Line 4
8. Zubov D.	92. Beresnev N.
73. Luzanov D.	75. Melnikov Y.
88. Anuchin N.	7. Glazunov M.
11. Porada I.	97. Kulyabin A.
72. Raznov D.
Substitutes
1. Kazantsev Y. (G)	30. Gritsenko Y. (G)
	86. Popov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
12:56, 1 - 0, Raznov D. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 2)
07:24, 1 - 1, Mishin V. (G), Anisimov Y. (A),
10:59, 1 - 2, Matyuk A. (G), Melnikov Y. (A), Skvortsov S. (A2)
18:05, 2 - 2, Maslenitsyn M. (G), Beryozkin I. (A), Anuchin N. (A2)
19:38, 3 - 2, Tumanov A. (G),
19:50, 4 - 2, Stramilov I. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loko-76 won 1.

Loko-76 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chaika's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Loko-76 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chaika has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Loko-76 will win today's game, with odds of 2.45.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Loko-76 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 35:52. (average 2.7:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Loko-76 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 2.8:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Loko-76 - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.91%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loko-76
MHL
18.01.26	AKM Novomoskovsk - Loko-76	2:3 OT ✺
15.01.26	Sibirskie Snaypery - Loko-76	0:1 OT ✺
14.01.26	Sibirskie Snaypery - Loko-76	4:3 ✺
08.01.26	Loko-76 - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	4:3 penalties ✺
07.01.26	Loko-76 - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL
- Chaika Nizhny Novgorod
MHL
15.01.26	Chaika - Tolpar	1:2 OT ✺
13.01.26	Chaika - Tolpar	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Chaika - Stalnye Lisy	1:7 ✺
10.01.26	Chaika - Stalnye Lisy	2:5 ✺
26.12.25	Omskye Yastreby - Chaika	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
17.11.25	Chaika - Loko-76	3:4 OT
19.12.24	Loko-76 - Chaika	2:3
17.09.24	Chaika - Loko-76	6:2
11.02.24	Loko-76 - Chaika	2:7
08.01.24	Chaika - Loko-76	5:4
19.02.23	Loko-76 - Chaika	4:5
18.02.23	Loko-76 - Chaika	2:3 OT

Loko-76 - Chaika: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide