Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Round 39

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Centre sportif Richard-Bozon (Chamonix)


	Chamonix		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.65	4.4	1.66
	3.69	4.23	1.67
	3.86	4.53	1.7	Watch
	3.8	4.3	1.66	Watch
	3.6	4.3	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (3.86)	4.35 ↓ (4.53)	1.67 (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chamonix
24.5%

Draw
20.9%

Bordeaux
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

20.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

21.8%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chamonix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chamonix than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Chamonix - Bordeaux Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Aubrun T. (G)	32. Papillon Q. (G)
15. Convert L.	58. Beaudry J.
51. Delmas Q.	72. Bruche B.
46. Durand C. (C)	20. Dusseau K. (A)
27. Fortin J.	96. Farnier L.
9. Grinbergs R.	73. Giroux T.
8. Johansson A. T.	7. Guidoux T.
91. Kivinen S.	13. Guillaume J. (A)
5. Koponen S. (A)	46. Kindl J.
4. Laprun C.	52. Lamarche M.
96. Lopachuk S.	21. Leborgne K.
7. Pantzare I.	91. Morin P.
25. Penz J.	24. Pageau N.
69. Raska A.	19. Pompei M.
16. Robert C.	27. Poudrier L. (C)
95. Simond C.	71. Puffer C.
6. Tarabusi A.	76. Rambelo A.
19. Tugnutt M.	14. Tomasino Q.
21. Ville M. (A)	23. Tournier U.
50. Wahlgren T.
Substitutes
30. Boursier T.	31. Dubeau A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:20, 1 - 0, Fortin J. (G), Johansson A. T. (A), Wahlgren T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:48, 1 - 1, Giroux T. (G),
3rd Period (4 - 0)
08:25, 2 - 1, Wahlgren T. (G), Ville M. (A), Koponen S. (A2)
09:13, 3 - 1, Kivinen S. (G), Raska A. (A), Tugnutt M. (A2)
13:57, 4 - 1, Tugnutt M. (G), Kivinen S. (A), Raska A. (A2)
15:16, 5 - 1, Lopachuk S. (G), Ville M. (A), Wahlgren T. (A2)

Preview

Bordeaux is Qualified for Ligue Magnus (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chamonix won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Bordeaux is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chamonix won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 37:65. (average 1.9:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chamonix won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 2.2:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Chamonix Mont-Blanc	9	5	0	2	2	32:31	17
7	Bordeaux	9	3	1	0	5	25:25	11

Last Results with these Odds

Chamonix - the odds 3.86 are the expected chance of winning is 24.02%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamonix HC
French Ligue Magnus
06.02.26	Spartiates de Marseille - Chamonix	5:2 ✺
30.01.26	Chamonix - Gap	6:3 ✺
27.01.26	Briançon - Chamonix	3:2 ✺
23.01.26	Chamonix - Amiens	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Rouen - Chamonix	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL
- Bordeaux GHC
French Ligue Magnus
06.02.26	Gap - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
30.01.26	Bordeaux - Amiens	5:1 ✺
27.01.26	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Bordeaux	3:2 ✺
23.01.26	Bordeaux - Cergy-Pontoise	5:2 ✺
20.01.26	Nice - Bordeaux	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
02.01.26	Bordeaux - Chamonix	3:0
23.11.25	Bordeaux - Chamonix	3:2
23.09.25	Chamonix - Bordeaux	4:1
21.01.25	Chamonix - Bordeaux	0:1
10.12.24	Bordeaux - Chamonix	4:1
22.11.24	Chamonix - Bordeaux	1:4
15.10.24	Bordeaux - Chamonix	5:0

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