Match Info

AHL

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bojangles Coliseum (Charlotte, NC) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	18:00	Flohockey


	Charlotte Checkers		Rochester Americans

	1	X	2
	2.05	4	2.7	Watch
	2.09	3.98	2.8
	2.1	4.16	2.83	Watch
	2.2	3.9	2.6
	2.1	4.15	2.83	Watch
	2.05	4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.21)	4.03 ↓ (4.13)	2.74 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Checkers
43.8%

Draw
22.8%

Rochester Americans
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42%

22.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

22.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Checkers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Charlotte Checkers - Rochester Americans Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Black C. (G)	27. Levi D. (G)
2. Benning M. (A)	12. Fiddler-Schultz R.
40. Bjornfot T. (A)	4. Geertsen M.
5. Carrick T. (C)	91. Helenius K.
36. Chorske B.	23. Johnson R.
17. Fabbri R.	39. Jones Z.
28. Foote N.	8. Joshua J. (A)
39. Gaber R.	83. Komarov V.
3. Jansson L.	21. Kopff T.
21. Livingstone J.	16. Kuntar T.
7. Mastrosimone R.	22. Metsa Z. (C)
9. McAllister R.	72. Meyer C. (A)
26. Pinho B.	79. Neuchev V.
24. Sawchyn G.	74. Novikov N.
13. Schwindt K.	5. Rathbone J.
25. Skoog W.	18. Rosen I.
6. Steeves B.	19. Slaggert G.
8. Vande Sompel M.	24. Wahlberg A.
29. Vilmanis S.	45. Warren B.
Substitutes
70. Domingue L. (G)	50. Leinonen T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:15, 1 - 0, Fabbri R. (G), Skoog W. (A), Livingstone J. (A2)
08:59, 1 - 1, Helenius K. (G), Rosen I. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:06, 1 - 2, Joshua J. (G), Metsa Z. (A), Neuchev V. (A2)
11:20, 1 - 3, Meyer C. (G), Wahlberg A. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
10:42, 2 - 3, Skoog W. (G), Sawchyn G. (A), McAllister R. (A2)
13:58, 3 - 3, Steeves B. (G), Pinho B. (A), Foote N. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:37, 4 - 3, Bjornfot T. (G), Fabbri R. (A), Sawchyn G. (A2)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rochester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 75:51. (average 3.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:29. (average 3.8:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Charlotte Checkers - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.98%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Checkers
AHL
05.12.25	Charlotte Checkers - Rochester Americans	3:6 ✺
29.11.25	Charlotte Checkers - Toronto Marlies	3:5 ✺
28.11.25	Charlotte Checkers - Toronto Marlies	5:1 ✺
22.11.25	Grand Rapids Griffins - Charlotte Checkers	2:1 OT ✺
21.11.25	Grand Rapids Griffins - Charlotte Checkers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLW
- Rochester Americans
AHL
05.12.25	Charlotte Checkers - Rochester Americans	3:6 ✺
03.12.25	Rochester Americans - Utica Comets	3:4 OT ✺
28.11.25	Rochester Americans - Syracuse Crunch	4:3 ✺
26.11.25	Rochester Americans - Cleveland Monsters	1:3 ✺
22.11.25	Utica Comets - Rochester Americans	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
05.12.25	Charlotte Checkers - Rochester Americans	3:6
21.03.25	Rochester Americans - Charlotte Checkers	1:2
12.03.25	Rochester Americans - Charlotte Checkers	3:4
07.12.24	Charlotte Checkers - Rochester Americans	0:3
06.12.24	Charlotte Checkers - Rochester Americans	6:0
13.01.24	Charlotte Checkers - Rochester Americans	5:2
12.01.24	Charlotte Checkers - Rochester Americans	2:3

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