Match Info

AHL

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Blue Cross Arena (Rochester, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Rochester Americans		Hershey Bears

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.4	Watch
	2.27	4	2.55
	2.25	3.96	2.56
	2.27	4.15	2.58	Watch
	2.2	4	2.6
	2.22	3.96	2.53	Watch
	2.1	3.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.11)	3.99 ↑ (3.8)	2.57 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochester Americans
41.3%

Draw
23%

Hershey Bears
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

23.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

25%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Hershey Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rochester (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Levi D. (G)	35. Gibson M. (G)
15. Bayreuther G.	7. Belpedio L. (A)
58. Belliveau I.	5. Chesley R.
12. Fiddler-Schultz R.	92. Clarke G.
29. Fulp A.	20. Cristall A.
4. Geertsen M.	19. Cruikshank G.
23. Johnson R.	14. Funk Z.
8. Joshua J.	25. Hofer R.
16. Kuntar T.	23. Leason B.
7. Leschyshyn J.	47. McDonald J.
72. Meyer C. (A)	10. Miroshnichenko I.
20. Nadeau O.	34. Muggli L.
74. Novikov N.	32. Nachbaur J.
18. Rosen I. (A)	40. Protas I.
17. Savage R.	12. Rybinski H.
19. Slaggert G.	6. Schueneman C. (A)
3. Tischke P.	37. Smith D.
24. Wahlberg A.	45. Strome M. (A)
45. Warren B. (A)	22. Waugh P.
Substitutes
33. Ratzlaff S. (G)	1. Bjorklund G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:34, 1 - 0, Tischke P. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:32, 1 - 1, McDonald J. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:57, 2 - 1, Rosen I. (G),
19:28, 3 - 1, Wahlberg A. (G),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 54:53. (average 2.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 2.9:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Rochester Americans - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.06%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Hershey Bears - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.04%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochester Americans
AHL
28.01.26	Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Rochester Americans - Cleveland Monsters	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Rochester Americans - Utica Comets	3:0 ✺
19.01.26	Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans	3:2 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Utica Comets - Rochester Americans	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL
- Hershey Bears
AHL
28.01.26	Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Hershey Bears	4:3 OT ✺
23.01.26	Hershey Bears - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:4 penalties ✺
20.01.26	Hershey Bears - Hartford Wolf Pack	4:5 OT ✺
18.01.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hershey Bears	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
28.01.26	Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears	1:3
09.11.25	Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans	2:1
19.01.25	Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans	5:4
22.11.24	Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears	4:3 OT
24.02.24	Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans	2:1 OT
29.12.23	Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears	2:4
02.06.23	Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears	0:1

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