The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Charlottetown Islanders 19.4%
Draw 18.2%
Moncton Wildcats 62.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.4%
18.3%
62.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.7%
16.4%
55.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Charlottetown Islanders have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Moncton Wildcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlottetown Islanders than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncton Wildcats than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moncton Wildcats, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hickey D. (G)
50. Rybkin Y. (G)
29. Boudreau A.
6. Baird-Gajdos C.
13. Butler M. (A)
7. Batchilder J.
74. Charron H.
14. Benigno C.
10. Conrad O. (C)
17. Blace W.
88. Duskocy N.
33. Boguniecki J.
82. Eccleston K.
3. Brosnan M.
14. Flanagan A. (A)
72. Bursaw L.
77. Flory K.
22. Chudzinski R. (A)
40. Grundmanis A.
24. Fortier-Gendron A. (A)
71. Haye C.
19. Gould S.
92. Herron J.
9. Kilfoil L.
15. Holyoke C.
12. Laitinen J.
43. Jewer R.
10. Manchuso W.
47. Mate A.
27. Mullen E.
17. Provencher A. (A)
16. Preskar A.
72. Shields W.
13. Survilas N.
26. Tremblay A.
26. Thornborough S.
34. Walsh R.
86. Tournas N. (A)
Substitutes
31. Ronan S. (G)
35. Weiner J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
06:33, 1 - 0, Boudreau A. (G), Butler M. (A),
07:25, 2 - 0, Eccleston K. (G), Flanagan A. (A), Grundmanis A. (A2)
15:44, 2 - 1, Kilfoil L. (G), Blace W. (A),
17:58, 2 - 2, Brosnan M. (G), Gould S. (A), Tournas N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:03, 2 - 3, Blace W. (G), Benigno C. (A), Batchilder J. (A2)
07:47, 2 - 4, Kilfoil L. (G), Bursaw L. (A), Chudzinski R. (A2)
12:11, 3 - 4, Grundmanis A. (G), Provencher A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlottetown won 3.
Charlottetown is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Moncton is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Moncton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Charlottetown has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Charlottetown has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:89 (averaging 2.9:4.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Charlottetown against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 43:49 goals (averaging 3.9:4.5 per game).