Match Info

QMJHL

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Eastlink Centre (Charlottetown, PE)


	Charlottetown Islanders		Shawinigan Cataractes

	1	X	2
	3.23	4.48	1.79
	3.32	4.63	1.76
	3.75	4.6	1.6
	3.5	4.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.83)	4.62 ↑ (4.61)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlottetown Islanders
26.4%

Draw
19.7%

Shawinigan Cataractes
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

19.6%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

20.7%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlottetown Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Shawinigan Cataractes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlottetown Islanders than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shawinigan Cataractes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hickey D. (G)	29. Fernandez M. (G)
11. Beaulieu A.	37. Bergeron F.
13. Butler M. (A)	88. Chandler C.
10. Conrad O. (A)	44. Charron O.
88. Duskocy N.	96. Dupuis K. (A)
14. Flanagan A.	86. Elie V.
92. Herron J.	12. Gagnon L.
7. Kearsey M. (C)	8. Hockley D.
24. Leek N. (A)	97. Klima J.
76. Lemieux-Goupil E.	55. Lacerte F. (A)
3. MacIsaac A.	93. Laframboise D.
61. MacKinnon D.	3. Lanthier J.
2. Peddle B.	72. Lygitsakos C. (A)
91. Peddle T.	6. Plamondon F.
17. Provencher A.	5. Plante M.
18. Ryabkin I.	24. Prudhomme J.
72. Shields W.	20. Satan M.
19. Staples R.	81. Schneider E.
12. Watroba C.	71. Semenyov G.
Substitutes
27. Carter J. (G)	40. Boucher P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
01:04, 1 - 0, Ryabkin I. (G), Conrad O. (A), Leek N. (A2)
07:41, 2 - 0, Leek N. (G), Herron J. (A),
15:27, 3 - 0, Leek N. (G), Ryabkin I. (A), Flanagan A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:25, 4 - 0, Ryabkin I. (G), Kearsey M. (A), Leek N. (A2)
04:14, 5 - 0, Shields W. (G), Peddle T. (A), Butler M. (A2)
13:54, 5 - 1, Klima J. (G), Schneider E. (A), Prudhomme J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
08:22, 6 - 1, Herron J. (G), Kearsey M. (A), Ryabkin I. (A2)
11:03, 6 - 2, Klima J. (G), Charron O. (A), Plamondon F. (A2)
19:37, 6 - 3, Gagnon L. (G), Chandler C. (A), Lygitsakos C. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlottetown won 4.

Charlottetown has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shawinigan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Charlottetown may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Charlottetown has had a series of home games.

In this match, Shawinigan is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charlottetown won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 69:60. (average 3.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlottetown won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:37. (average 3.4:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Charlottetown Islanders - the odds 3.83 are the expected chance of winning is 23.66%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Shawinigan Cataractes - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 56.71%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlottetown Islanders
QMJHL
07.02.26	Charlottetown Islanders - Moncton Wildcats	4:10 ✺
06.02.26	Charlottetown Islanders - Newfoundland Regiment	2:5 ✺
31.01.26	Charlottetown Islanders - Saint John Sea Dogs	3:7 ✺
30.01.26	Charlottetown Islanders - Baie-Comeau Drakkar	4:2 ✺
25.01.26	Cape Breton Screaming Eagles - Charlottetown Islanders	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLWW
- Shawinigan Cataractes
QMJHL
07.02.26	Shawinigan Cataractes - Baie-Comeau Drakkar	5:2 ✺
06.02.26	Shawinigan Cataractes - Rimouski Oceanic	6:4 ✺
01.02.26	Chicoutimi Sagueneens - Shawinigan Cataractes	1:3 ✺
30.01.26	Shawinigan Cataractes - Halifax Mooseheads	3:1 ✺
29.01.26	Drummondville Voltigeurs - Shawinigan Cataractes	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

QMJHL
01.10.25	Shawinigan Cataractes - Charlottetown Islanders	3:4 OT
29.11.24	Shawinigan Cataractes - Charlottetown Islanders	2:5
20.11.24	Charlottetown Islanders - Shawinigan Cataractes	3:2
19.01.24	Charlottetown Islanders - Shawinigan Cataractes	3:4 penalties
01.12.23	Shawinigan Cataractes - Charlottetown Islanders	2:4
04.03.23	Shawinigan Cataractes - Charlottetown Islanders	6:2
24.02.23	Charlottetown Islanders - Shawinigan Cataractes	5:4

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