Match Info

VHL

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Dizel-Arena (Penza)


	Dizel Penza		SKA-VMF

	1	X	2
	1.81	4.1	3.72	Watch
	1.66	4	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.74)	4.05 ↓ (4.08)	3.79 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
53%

Draw
22.7%

SKA-VMF
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

22.4%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

23.1%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Dizel Penza - SKA VMF Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dizel will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dizel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)	31. Saranchuk G. (G)
68. Rudakov G.	14. Shekhovtsov Y. (A)
75. Pogorishny O. (A)	47. Zelenov Y.
91. Andriyanov A.	85. Kapchuk S.
95. Pochivalov D.	24. Sharov A. (C)
71. Kolmykov M.	91. Lutfullin I.
Line 2
7. Spitsenko K.	68. Beshkorov K.
6. Lukichyov A.	80. Gryaznov G. (A)
23. Sidlyarov D. (C)	96. Kabat M.
47. Bobylyov V.	17. Kabush M.
97. Borisenkov A.	83. Shamshurin S.
Line 3
98. Lyulko V.	92. Vashchenko N.
83. Sukhov S.	21. Kalinin N.
41. Lukin V.	97. Nugmanov A.
69. Boluchevsky A.	82. Mamaladze D.
10. Popov D.	23. Osipov G.
Line 4
54. Filippov T.	12. Remezovsky I.
78. Balashov M.	10. Ignatov I.
87. Karapetyan D.	40. Proskurnin A.
34. Larichev V.	11. Gorbushin M.
Substitutes
31. Kudashev D. (G)	74. Podlyagin N. (G)
	30. Zavragin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
14:28, 1 - 0, Spitsenko K. (G), Borisenkov A. (A),
19:49, 2 - 0, Andriyanov A. (G), Kolmykov M. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
08:31, 3 - 0, Sidlyarov D. (G), Lukichyov A. (A),
09:23, 4 - 0, Borisenkov A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 1.

Recent performances by Dizel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SKA-VMF is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dizel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dizel has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dizel is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 44:71. (average 2.2:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dizel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 1.8:3.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	11	5	2	0	4	27:21	14
16	Dizel	11	3	2	2	4	24:24	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
16.01.26	Norilsk - Dizel Penza	0:3 ✺
13.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Dizel Penza	1:4 ✺
11.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dizel Penza	4:3 ✺
09.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - Dizel Penza	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Dizel Penza	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLL
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
18.01.26	Ryazan - SKA-VMF	4:0 ✺
16.01.26	AKM - SKA-VMF	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	SKA-VMF - Chelny	2:4 ✺
09.01.26	SKA-VMF - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	SKA-VMF - CSK VVS Samara	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
01.11.25	SKA-VMF - Dizel Penza	4:3
02.02.25	SKA-VMF - Dizel Penza	4:1
24.10.24	Dizel Penza - SKA-VMF	5:3
11.12.23	SKA-VMF - Dizel Penza	2:1 penalties
09.11.23	Dizel Penza - SKA-VMF	1:2 OT
19.01.23	Dizel Penza - SKA-VMF	2:4
05.10.22	SKA-VMF - Dizel Penza	2:3 penalties

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